Clinton 40pt lead over Trump if Brits voted

Clinton would have a 40-point lead over Trump if Brits had a vote

Research by Sporting Index finds Hillary Clinton would get the backing of 52 per cent of UK adults if they could cast a ballot in the US presidential election.

Topline US Presidential Voting Intention – UK voters

Candidate %
Hillary Clinton 52
Donald Trump 12
Neither 28
Don't Know 8

Sporting Index has asked UK voters how they would cast a vote in the US presidential election and found that Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton has an extraordinary 40-point lead over her rival Donald Trump.

The leading political spread betting firm commissioned pollsters Opinium and found that 52 per cent of UK voters would back Clinton, compared to just 12 per cent who would back Trump.

However, more than a quarter wouldn’t cast their ballot for either candidate.

Among UK women, Clinton’s lead stretches to 47 points with just seven per cent indicating they would vote for Republican nominee Trump (54-7).

Half of UK men would back Clinton, while nearly one in five (17 per cent) support Trump.

Broken down by UK party affiliation from the 2015 General Election,

Trump enjoys a 19-point lead over Clinton among UKIP voters (38-19), although more than a third of those who voted for the party (35 per cent) wouldn’t vote for either candidate.

Sporting Index also found that support for Clinton among voters of the UK’s other main political parties remains solid, with those voting for the Liberal Democrats (75-7), Labour (67-6), Conservative (56-14) and SNP (53-3) giving the former Secretary of State an overwhelming endorsement.

Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said:

“The British electorate have clearly signaled that they wish to see Hillary Clinton and not Donald Trump behind the Resolute desk in the Oval Office."

“The US election is being closely followed across the pond and we’ve taken an unprecedented number of bets over the past two weeks – half of which are backing Donald Trump to prevail. With just over a month to go and such a volatile contest, it looks certain to be the biggest US political betting event in history.”

US presidential election voting intention – UK voters

Candidate % Support Of UK Vote Lead
Hillary Clinton 52 +40
Donald Trump 12  
Neither 28  
Don't Know 8  

By Gender Split

Gender Clinton Trump Lead
Men 50 17 Clinton +33
Women 54 7 Clinton +47
Clinton Trump Lead
Men 50 17 CLINTON +33
Women 54 7 CLINTON +47

By UK General Election 2015 Affiliation

  Clinton Trump Lead
Conservatives 56 14 Clinton +42
Labour 67 6 Clinton +61
Liberal Democrats 75l 7 Clinton +68
UKIP 19 38 Trump +19
SNP 53 3 Clinton +50
Green 59 2 Clinton +57

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