November 2016
Trump gaining ground as Clinton clings on to narrowing electoral college lead (4th November 2016)
Hillary Clinton's electoral college lead is shrinking but Donald Trump is expected to fall short in his bid to become the next president, according to leading political spread betting company Sporting Index.
Following further email revelations, Clinton's Electoral College Votes prediction has shrunk by 37 to 290 - a low water mark since Sporting Index's markets opened months ago.
However, the former Secretary of State remains ahead of the magic 270 needed to be elected president.
Sporting Index now expect Republican rival Trump to carry 27 states and collect 248 electoral college votes, including the key swing states of Ohio and Iowa that looked out of reach just two weeks ago.
Despite the uncertainty, the leading political spread betting company expect Clinton to hold on to the key states of Pennsylvania and Nevada, though Arizona looks a lost cause.
The closest state races according to the political trading team are to be found in Florida and North Carolina, where Trump is currently favoured to triumph - just.
Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "The race to become president is narrowing by the day and although it looks like Clinton will ultimately cling on to a close victory, Trump is now within the margin of error in many national polls."
"However, the Trump surge has come very late in the game and the Democrats have had a significant early voting machine up and running that may allow Clinton to carry key states like Nevada."
"All eyes may, once again, turn to Florida on what looks set to be a very long and tense election night."
More bets placed for Clinton in the past 24 hours than all of October (7th November 2016)
More bets backing Hillary Clinton have been placed with Sporting Index in the last 24 hours than the entire month of October as Clinton looks set to become the next president.
Clinton's Electoral College Votes prediction sunk to a low water mark of just 290 on Friday as an expanded FBI investigation into her emails cast doubt on her candidacy - let alone her prospect of victory.
However, having been cleared of any wrongdoing for a second time, bets have flooded in sending the former Secretary of State's ECV prediction soaring to 325, well ahead of the magic 270 needed to be elected president.
Sporting Index now expect Republican rival Trump to carry 24 states and collect just 213 electoral college votes, including the key swing states of Ohio, Arizona and Iowa.
However, record early voting figures and signs of high latino voter turnout have pushed Nevada and Florida into Clinton's column - leaving Trump with a mountain to climb if he's to shock the world.
Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "There has been little sign of significant Clinton support over the past month, but we¿ve seen a torrent of bets come in the past 24 hours backing Hillary."
"The better-than-Obama early voting results in Nevada, combined with the FBI statement clearing Clinton, has removed many doubt in observers' minds about the chance of another Clinton presidency."
"If Trump is going to win, he'll need to turn out millions of disaffected voters to the ballot boxes - or the polls need to be wrong. Clinton would be wise to not count her chickens just yet though, as neither of those scenarios are out of the question."
Late surge in bets for Trump cuts Hillary's lead (8th November 2016 ***16:00 UPDATE***)
After a wave of Hillary support yesterday, Sporting Index has seen a surge in bets backing Donald Trump to defy the polls and become the next president.
Clinton's Electoral College Votes prediction is down to 311 from a high-water mark of 330 yesterday, while Trump is on 226 and sits within striking distance of the magic 270 needed to win.
Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "Punters backing Trump had been quiet over the past few days but this morning we've seen a surge of support for the Donald.
"The polls may have been moving against Trump in the final few days, but we've seen a number of elections across the world defy conventional wisdom in the past 18 months."
"Could President Trump become a reality? Our current prediction suggests not, but we won't have to wait too much longer to find out."
Trump chipping away at Clinton's lead as bets pour in (8th November 2016 ***23:00 UPDATE***)
Trump is closing the gap on Hillary Clinton as bets continue to flow in supporting the controversial candidate, according to the leading political spread betting company Sporting Index.
Clinton's Electoral College Votes prediction is down to 309 from a high-water mark of 330 yesterday, while Trump is on 229.
Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "Despite some positive early voting figures for Clinton in key states like Nevada and Florida, bets have continued to flow in for Trump since this morning and that has continued throughout the evening. It's been one-way business on the trading floor tonight in support of Trump."
Trump's expected ECV total 231 and rising (8th November 2016 ***00:30 UPDATE***)
Donald Trump's predicted electoral college vote total has risen above 230 for the first time and is rising quickly thanks to large bets taken in key states, according to the leading political spread betting company Sporting Index.
Clinton's Electoral College Votes prediction is down to 307 from a high-water mark of 330 yesterday, while Trump is now on 231.
Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "Early results are encouraging for Trump in some key areas and we've seen large bets come in in the last 30 minutes for the Republicans to win states like Wisconsin and Michigan."
Trump now favourite for the presidency (9th November 2016 ***02:50 UPDATE***)
Donald Trump is now favourite to become the next president of the United States, according to the leading political spread betting company Sporting Index.
Trump's Electoral College Votes prediction is now 270, precisely the number he needs to defeat Hillary Clinton.
Trump victory a big win for Sporting Index (9th November 2016)
Sporting Index has reported a successful US presidential election night with Donald Trump's win set to result in a six figure profit for the leading spread betting company.
The firm were best price on Hillary Clinton for two months and still ended up with a pro-Hillary book. There was unprecedented interest in the election and a huge number of bets were taken after 10pm on Tuesday all the way through to the early hours.
With four states yet to declare, Trump could still hit 300 electoral college votes. On Monday, Clinton was expected to win 325 electoral college votes with Trump predicted to land just 213.
The market proved hugely volatile over the past 24 hours and the Republican candidate has come out comfortably on top in another surprising election.
Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "Five months of hard work has gone into our election book, covering all of the scandals, midnight suspensions of markets and more."
"The most divisive election in history has also proved to be one of the most volatile. While many expected Hillary to walk away with the keys to the White House, we were happy to take her on and that has paid off. The further Trump wins by the better for us."
Zac Goldsmith set to hold Richmond Park (30th November 2016)
Sporting Index's political spread betting markets make newlyindependent candidate Zac Goldsmith favourite to hold his Richmond Park seat in Thursday's by-election.
The spread betting firm's Richmond Park by-election market is scored via a `Win 25 Index', whereby the winning candidate on 1st December will be given 25, the second-place candidate 10, and any others 0.
Goldsmith is currently trading at 20 on the index, with Liberal Democrats challenger Sarah Olney trading at 15.
Spread bettors can challenge these predictions by betting higher or lower, with profits or losses calculated on how right or wrong they are.
A punter who buys Sarah Olney at 15 would win 10 times their stake if she were to win, but they would lose five times their stake if she finished second.
Christian Wolmar is expected to finish a very distant third and will do well to get above the five per cent threshold that sees the return of Labour's deposit.
Ed Fulton, political spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "Having resigned over his own party's stance on Heathrow expansion, Brexit-supporting Zac Goldsmith was always going to face a tricky by-election in the heavily Remain-supporting seat of Richmond Park."
"Although we make Goldsmith favourite to hold on, the Liberal Democrats are in buoyant mood and we've started to see significant bets coming in backing Sarah Olney to continue the 2016 theme of shocks by overturning the 25,000-vote majority."
Hillary Clinton's electoral college lead is shrinking but Donald Trump is expected to fall short in his bid to become the next president, according to leading political spread betting company Sporting Index.
Following further email revelations, Clinton's Electoral College Votes prediction has shrunk by 37 to 290 - a low water mark since Sporting Index's markets opened months ago.
However, the former Secretary of State remains ahead of the magic 270 needed to be elected president.
Sporting Index now expect Republican rival Trump to carry 27 states and collect 248 electoral college votes, including the key swing states of Ohio and Iowa that looked out of reach just two weeks ago.
Despite the uncertainty, the leading political spread betting company expect Clinton to hold on to the key states of Pennsylvania and Nevada, though Arizona looks a lost cause.
The closest state races according to the political trading team are to be found in Florida and North Carolina, where Trump is currently favoured to triumph - just.
Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "The race to become president is narrowing by the day and although it looks like Clinton will ultimately cling on to a close victory, Trump is now within the margin of error in many national polls."
"However, the Trump surge has come very late in the game and the Democrats have had a significant early voting machine up and running that may allow Clinton to carry key states like Nevada."
"All eyes may, once again, turn to Florida on what looks set to be a very long and tense election night."
More bets placed for Clinton in the past 24 hours than all of October (7th November 2016)
More bets backing Hillary Clinton have been placed with Sporting Index in the last 24 hours than the entire month of October as Clinton looks set to become the next president.
Clinton's Electoral College Votes prediction sunk to a low water mark of just 290 on Friday as an expanded FBI investigation into her emails cast doubt on her candidacy - let alone her prospect of victory.
However, having been cleared of any wrongdoing for a second time, bets have flooded in sending the former Secretary of State's ECV prediction soaring to 325, well ahead of the magic 270 needed to be elected president.
Sporting Index now expect Republican rival Trump to carry 24 states and collect just 213 electoral college votes, including the key swing states of Ohio, Arizona and Iowa.
However, record early voting figures and signs of high latino voter turnout have pushed Nevada and Florida into Clinton's column - leaving Trump with a mountain to climb if he's to shock the world.
Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "There has been little sign of significant Clinton support over the past month, but we¿ve seen a torrent of bets come in the past 24 hours backing Hillary."
"The better-than-Obama early voting results in Nevada, combined with the FBI statement clearing Clinton, has removed many doubt in observers' minds about the chance of another Clinton presidency."
"If Trump is going to win, he'll need to turn out millions of disaffected voters to the ballot boxes - or the polls need to be wrong. Clinton would be wise to not count her chickens just yet though, as neither of those scenarios are out of the question."
Late surge in bets for Trump cuts Hillary's lead (8th November 2016 ***16:00 UPDATE***)
After a wave of Hillary support yesterday, Sporting Index has seen a surge in bets backing Donald Trump to defy the polls and become the next president.
Clinton's Electoral College Votes prediction is down to 311 from a high-water mark of 330 yesterday, while Trump is on 226 and sits within striking distance of the magic 270 needed to win.
Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "Punters backing Trump had been quiet over the past few days but this morning we've seen a surge of support for the Donald.
"The polls may have been moving against Trump in the final few days, but we've seen a number of elections across the world defy conventional wisdom in the past 18 months."
"Could President Trump become a reality? Our current prediction suggests not, but we won't have to wait too much longer to find out."
Trump chipping away at Clinton's lead as bets pour in (8th November 2016 ***23:00 UPDATE***)
Trump is closing the gap on Hillary Clinton as bets continue to flow in supporting the controversial candidate, according to the leading political spread betting company Sporting Index.
Clinton's Electoral College Votes prediction is down to 309 from a high-water mark of 330 yesterday, while Trump is on 229.
Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "Despite some positive early voting figures for Clinton in key states like Nevada and Florida, bets have continued to flow in for Trump since this morning and that has continued throughout the evening. It's been one-way business on the trading floor tonight in support of Trump."
Trump's expected ECV total 231 and rising (8th November 2016 ***00:30 UPDATE***)
Donald Trump's predicted electoral college vote total has risen above 230 for the first time and is rising quickly thanks to large bets taken in key states, according to the leading political spread betting company Sporting Index.
Clinton's Electoral College Votes prediction is down to 307 from a high-water mark of 330 yesterday, while Trump is now on 231.
Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "Early results are encouraging for Trump in some key areas and we've seen large bets come in in the last 30 minutes for the Republicans to win states like Wisconsin and Michigan."
Trump now favourite for the presidency (9th November 2016 ***02:50 UPDATE***)
Donald Trump is now favourite to become the next president of the United States, according to the leading political spread betting company Sporting Index.
Trump's Electoral College Votes prediction is now 270, precisely the number he needs to defeat Hillary Clinton.
Trump victory a big win for Sporting Index (9th November 2016)
Sporting Index has reported a successful US presidential election night with Donald Trump's win set to result in a six figure profit for the leading spread betting company.
The firm were best price on Hillary Clinton for two months and still ended up with a pro-Hillary book. There was unprecedented interest in the election and a huge number of bets were taken after 10pm on Tuesday all the way through to the early hours.
With four states yet to declare, Trump could still hit 300 electoral college votes. On Monday, Clinton was expected to win 325 electoral college votes with Trump predicted to land just 213.
The market proved hugely volatile over the past 24 hours and the Republican candidate has come out comfortably on top in another surprising election.
Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "Five months of hard work has gone into our election book, covering all of the scandals, midnight suspensions of markets and more."
"The most divisive election in history has also proved to be one of the most volatile. While many expected Hillary to walk away with the keys to the White House, we were happy to take her on and that has paid off. The further Trump wins by the better for us."
Zac Goldsmith set to hold Richmond Park (30th November 2016)
Sporting Index's political spread betting markets make newlyindependent candidate Zac Goldsmith favourite to hold his Richmond Park seat in Thursday's by-election.
The spread betting firm's Richmond Park by-election market is scored via a `Win 25 Index', whereby the winning candidate on 1st December will be given 25, the second-place candidate 10, and any others 0.
Goldsmith is currently trading at 20 on the index, with Liberal Democrats challenger Sarah Olney trading at 15.
Spread bettors can challenge these predictions by betting higher or lower, with profits or losses calculated on how right or wrong they are.
A punter who buys Sarah Olney at 15 would win 10 times their stake if she were to win, but they would lose five times their stake if she finished second.
Christian Wolmar is expected to finish a very distant third and will do well to get above the five per cent threshold that sees the return of Labour's deposit.
Ed Fulton, political spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "Having resigned over his own party's stance on Heathrow expansion, Brexit-supporting Zac Goldsmith was always going to face a tricky by-election in the heavily Remain-supporting seat of Richmond Park."
"Although we make Goldsmith favourite to hold on, the Liberal Democrats are in buoyant mood and we've started to see significant bets coming in backing Sarah Olney to continue the 2016 theme of shocks by overturning the 25,000-vote majority."