October 2016

Clinton would have a 40-point lead over Trump if Brits had a vote (7th October 2016)

Sporting Index has asked UK voters how they would cast a vote in the US presidential election and found that Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton has an extraordinary 40-point lead over her rival Donald Trump.

The leading political spread betting firm commissioned pollsters Opinium and found that 52 per cent of UK voters would back Clinton, compared to just 12 per cent who would back Trump. However, more than a quarter wouldn't cast their ballot for either candidate.

Among UK women, Clinton's lead stretches to 47 points with just seven per cent indicating they would vote for Republican nominee Trump (54-7). Half of UK men would back Clinton, while nearly one in five (17 per cent) support Trump.

Broken down by UK party affiliation from the 2015 General Election, Trump enjoys a 19-point lead over Clinton among UKIP voters (38-19), although more than a third of those who voted for the party (35 per cent) wouldn't vote for either candidate.

Sporting Index also found that support for Clinton among voters of the UK's other main political parties remains solid, with those voting for the Liberal Democrats (75-7), Labour (67-6), Conservative (56-14) and SNP (53-3) giving the former Secretary of State an overwhelming endorsement.

Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "The British electorate have clearly signaled that they wish to see Hillary Clinton and not Donald Trump behind the Resolute desk in the Oval Office."

"The US election is being closely followed across the pond and we've taken an unprecedented number of bets over the past two weeks - half of which are backing Donald Trump to prevail. With just over a month to go and such a volatile contest, it looks certain to be the biggest US political betting event in history."

Hillary Clinton to be elected in landslide with 327 electoral college votes (14th October 2016)

Hillary Clinton is set to inflict a heavy defeat on Donald Trump in the race to become the 45th President of the United States, according to leading political spread betting company Sporting Index.

The company has today released a comprehensive set of markets on the most controversial White House race in memory, with Clinton expected to be elected president on 8 November with 327 electoral college votes.

Sporting Index predict Donald Trump will carry 23 states and collect 211 electoral college votes in one of the most lopsided defeats for a Republican party candidate in history.

The leading political spread betting company expect Democratic nominee Clinton to claim the key swing states of Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and Wisconsin.

Trump is expected to hold Arizona, Georgia and Utah for the Republicans, though former strongholds like North Carolina appear lost.

Ed Fulton, political trading spokesman for Sporting Index, said: "Hillary Clinton has benefitted from a disastrous two weeks for the Trump campaign and looks set for a landslide victory, but The Donald has defied polls and pundits many times before and could do so again."

"It doesn't look great for the Republicans at the moment, but Trump was even further behind in June and managed to bring the race back to a virtual tie in just weeks. A month is a long time in politics, so Clinton supporters would be wise to leave the celebratory red, white and blue balloons unfilled for now."