Arsenal v Tottenham | Betting Preview
Arsenal v Tottenham – North London Derby Preview
North London heavyweights Arsenal and Tottenham will fight for local bragging rights when they do battle at The Emirates on Sunday. Some of the finest attacking talent in the Premier League will be on show, as the likes of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette line up against Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min. The North London derby so often serves up entertaining affairs with plenty of cards and goalmouth action and there’s every chance this match will be no different.
Arsenal v Tottenham: The Form Guide & Stats
Arsenal invested heavily in bolstering their squad in the summer and they made a strong start to the new season. It began with a hard fought 1-0 win away at Newcastle, courtesy of Aubameyang’s second-half strike. The Gabonese superstar then hit the winner as the Gunners beat Burnley 2-1 at The Emirates. Yet their 100% record slipped when they suffered a 3-1 defeat at Anfield on Saturday.
Unai Emery’s men have not been particularly creative thus far, as their expected goals (xG) tally against Newcastle was 1.13, it stood at 1.16 when they hosted Burnley and it was just 0.99 in their defeat to Liverpool. They have had to rely on Aubameyang’s deadliness in front of goal, and fans will hope to see the likes of Nicolas Pepe and Dani Ceballos carving out more chances for the team.
Spurs also began the season with a win. They trailed 1-0 for large periods of their opener, but rallied to beat Aston Villa 3-1 courtesy of a late brace from Kane. Their xG in that game was 2.57, while it stood at a mere 0.07 when they travelled to Manchester to face defending champions Man City in their second game. The hosts had an xG of 3.20, but Tottenham managed to escape with a very creditable 2-2 draw, as they were clinical in front of goal, while Pep Guardiola’s men were wasteful.
Spurs were widely expected to steamroller struggling Newcastle Utd at the weekend, but they slumped to a shock 1-0 defeat. Once again, their creativity was found wanting, as they dominated possession, but their xG was just 1.26. Although Tottenham may consider themselves slightly unlucky to have lost the game, there are signs that Spurs are lacking in the creative department at the moment.
Playmaker Christian Eriksen has refused to sign a new contract and he is angling for a move away from the club, so Mauricio Pochettino has benched him, and that has left Tottenham struggling to create chances.
Arsenal v Tottenham Team News – Pochettino Faces Potential Right-Back Crisis
Arsenal are still missing key defenders Hector Bellerin, Kieran Tierney and Rob Holding. David Luiz was at fault for two of Liverpool’s goals in the 3-1 defeat last weekend, but Emery is likely to stick with the Brazilian alongside Sokratis at the back, with Ainsley Maitland-Niles on the right and either Nacho Monreal or Sead Kolasinac on the left. The manager could opt for a potentially devastating attacking trio of Aubameyang, Lacazette and Pepe, but he might leave one of them out in order to tighten up the midfield.
Youngster Joe Willock, loan signing Dani Ceballos and Matteo Guendouzi will hope to keep their places in the engine room, but Emery may be tempted to bring in Granit Xhaka and Lucas Torreira.
Spurs have a dilemma in the creative department. If Eriksen continues to be left out, Pochettino could turn to loanee Giovani Lo Celso in a bid to improve matters. Kane and Son are likely to start up front. Dele Alli is back from injury, although the Tottenham midfielder may have to settle for a place on the bench.
Tanguy Ndombele missed the defeat to Newcastle, and it would be a real blow for Spurs if he is ruled out of this match too. Right-back Kyle Walker-Peters also limped off against the Magpies and is a major doubt, so Pochettino may have to rush Serge Aurier back or play Moussa Sissoko out of position.
North London Derby Historical Trends
Arsenal secured an impressive 4-2 victory over Spurs here last season, with Aubameyang and Torreira starring. It then finished 1-1 at Wembley, with Aubameyang missing a late penalty.
Arsenal beat Tottenham 2-0 here the previous season, and lost 1-0 on the road. Spurs have not actually won a Premier League game at The Emirates since a stunning 3-2 comeback victory in 2010. The last 10 meetings between these teams have seen 25 goals, yielding a neat average of 2.5 goals per game. Both teams have scored in seven of the last 10, and we have not seen a 0-0 stalemate between these two for decades.
These teams are often involved in feisty encounters. Last season’s showdown at The Emirates saw each team receive three yellow cards, while Spurs defender Jan Vertonghen was sent off with five minutes to play. Torreira was sent off in injury-time in the reverse fixture, while five yellow cards were brandished. However, the previous season’s games were tamer affairs, with just three yellows and no reds at Wembley, and five yellows and no reds at The Emirates.
Arsenal v Tottenham Odds & Spreads
Arsenal have been given a minor advantage over Spurs in the football spread betting market on this game. They are priced at 0.05-0.25 over their North London rivals, while the Gunners have a Win Index of 12-13.5, compared to 10.25-11.75 for Tottenham.
In the fixed odds betting, Arsenal are favourites at 11/8, an away win for Tottenham is priced at 15/8, while a North London stalemate is 5/2.
Harry Kane loves playing against Arsenal and he has banged in nine goals in nine games against them. Kane is 4/1 to open the scoring on Sunday.
Goals are common in this fixture and with that in mind The Total Goals spread has been priced at 3-3.2. Over 2.5 goals is 4/7 and Under 2.5 has been priced at 11/8.
As the North London derby is so often a fiery affair, the Bookings spread has been set at 48-52. In this market points are awarded for every card shown in the match, with 10 points given per yellow and 25 points per red.
If you believe somebody will see red in the derby, a red card to be shown in the match is 11/4.