ATP Finals - Tennis Spread Betting Preview

ATP Finals 2018: Does First Set Dominance Spell Success?

The irrepressible Novak Djokovic goes into the ATP Finals in magnificent form after storming to the top of the world rankings. He swatted aside the likes of Roger Federer and Marin Cilic en route to glory at the Paris Masters at the weekend and he now replaces Rafa Nadal as world number one. He is the form player heading into the season-ending ATP Finals in London on November 11 after embarking on a long unbeaten streak. He has racked up several impressive stats during his glittering career, but one in particular stands out.

After winning the opening set of a match, Djokovic has gone on to win 95.9% of his matches. He has won 728 of 759 contests after going 1-0 up in sets, and no player has been more dominant than the Serb after winning the opening set. That could be worth keeping an eye on in London as Djokovic bids to cap a remarkable year by adding another trophy to his bulging cabinet.

Djokovic Bidding for a Sixth Title

31-year-old Djokovic is one of the most successful players in the history of the ATP Finals tournament, which brings together the eight top-ranked stars in the world at the end of the season to battle it out for a share of the $8 million prize purse. The winner takes home a cool $2.7 million, making it one of the biggest paydays in the calendar for tennis’ leading lights. This year the eight men set to vie for glory are Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, Alexander Zverev, Kevin Anderson, Kei Nishikori, John Isner, Marin Cilic and Dominic Thiem. Rafael Nadal has withdrawn from the tournament due to injury.

Federer is the most successful player in the tournament’s history, with six wins under his belt. But Djokovic is tied for second with Ivan Lendl and Pete Sampras, who all have five wins apiece, and victory for Djokovic this year would see him move level with the Swiss in the all-time stakes. That is all the more reason for Federer to launch his own bid to claim the trophy this year, but he will have his work cut out.

Djokovic was in sensational form as he beat the Swiss 7-6, 5-7, 7-6 in the semi-finals of the Paris Masters at the weekend. He won the first set via a tiebreak and after that point proceedings took on a grim inevitability. Federer staged a wonderful challenge, but you simply do not want to go 1-0 down in sets against Djokovic.

First Set Dominance

Going 1-0 down in sets against any elite opponent is extremely problematic. Nadal has won 94.8% of his matches after taking the opening set, while Bjorn Borg won 94.1%, Andy Murray has won 93.5% and Federer has won 93.3%. Losing the opener against a big name star is just a real psychological blow and few players recover from that.

Djokovic has been similarly impressive after going 1-0 up against top 10 opponents, as he has gone on to win 89.8% of such matches. Nadal has won 90% of games in which he has gone 1-0 up against a top 10 player, while Federer has won 84.6% to leave him third in the all-time stakes. These stats matter at the ATP Finals, as only the elite players head to London to lock horns. This year Djokovic has won 44 of the 46 matches in which he has seized the opening set, so he will be extremely dangerous in this tournament.

Spread Betting on the ATP Finals

The Tennis Spreads on the ATP Finals have Djokovic out in front, as befits a man who currently sits atop the world rankings. Tennis spread betting is an excellent way to ramp up the excitement of watching a match. It allows you to bet on any match at a tournament, and you have various different options, including Game Supremacy, Match Supremacy and Total Games.

There are plenty of exciting tennis spread betting options available to you at the ATP World Finals, and you can also bet live while matches are in-play, such as after the first set is over. This helps boost the enjoyment of watching a tennis match throughout the game. To find out more about tennis spread betting options, be sure to visit our Spread Betting Training Centre.

Djokovic first won this tournament in 2008, and he won four in a row between 2012 and 2015. In each instance he won the first set of the final and went on to lift the trophy. The last man to lose the opening set and still go on to win it was David Nalbandian, who beat Federer back in 2005. However, that was back when the ATP Finals were best-of-five sets and nobody has pulled it off since it went to best-of-three.

Can anyone stop world number one Novak Djokovic in his quest to win a sixth ATP Finals championship? Check out all the latest ATP Finals spreads at Sporting Index.

Please note: Spread Betting involves risk. Losses may exceed deposits.

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