Chelsea v Tottenham - Spread Betting Preview

Can Wounded Blues Bounce Back Against London Rivals Tottenham?

Tottenham travel to Stamford Bridge on Wednesday to face a jaded and dejected Chelsea side verging on the point of crisis. The Blues suffered a penalty shoot-out defeat to Man City in Sunday’s Carabao Cup final and the game descended into farce when Kepa Arrizabalaga refused to be substituted. The goalkeeper had been suffering from cramp and manager Maurizio Sarri tried to send on Willy Caballero with just two minutes of stoppage time remaining. But Arrizabalaga was having none of it and he remained on the pitch to little avail as he saved just one of the five penalties he faced as Chelsea were defeated. Spurs will now bid to capitalise on the chaos that has engulfed Stamford Bridge.

It is worth noting that Tottenham also endured a disappointing weekend. It promised so much after talismanic forward Harry Kane returned in time for what looked like a straightforward trip to Turf Moor to face relegation threatened Burnley. But a Kane strike was not enough to stop Spurs slumping to a 2-1 defeat that seriously damaged their title challenge. Manager Mauricio Pochettino also lost his cool in the aftermath and he faces an FA sanction for remonstrating so passionately with referee Mike Dean after the final whistle was blown.

Blue is the Colour, Disappointment is the Game

Of course Chelsea would give anything to be in Tottenham’s situation right now. They trail Spurs by 10 points in the Premier League table and are marooned in sixth place after a horrible spell of results. It saw them lose 6-0 to Man City and take further beatings at the hands of Bournemouth and Arsenal, while they crashed out of the FA Cup with a timid showing against Man Utd. Sarri was a dead man walking well before the Carabao Cup final, but to see him undermined so overtly was hard to watch.

To make matters worse, the Blues have just been slapped with a two-window transfer ban that will see them unable to sign players until the end of January 2020. That would leave them unable to sign loanees Gonzalo Higuain and Mateo Kovacic. They would be unable to bring in much needed defensive reinforcements or a new striker, while certain players that are rumoured to want out – including Eden Hazard and Callum Hudson-Odoi – could be forced to stay against their will.

When you throw in the situation with Sarri, it all points to Chelsea being a club in crisis. Yet they reminded everyone that they are still a force to be reckoned with on their day at Wembley. They blunted Man City’s potent attacking force for 120 minutes and were unlucky to lose on penalties. Man City have only drawn a blank in two games this season, and both of them were against Chelsea, who also beat them 2-0 in December. They deserve credit for rallying after that embarrassing 6-0 defeat and producing such a gritty performance in the final.

Sarri and Pochettino Desperate for Three Points

Both teams go into this game in need of a result. Chelsea will want to rebuild after such a horrendous couple of months, and need to keep the pressure on Arsenal and Man Utd in the race to finish fourth and seize a Champions League place next season. Spurs are now just seven points ahead of Arsenal, and face their North London rivals at Wembley in their next game, so they will be keen to maintain a solid lead over Unai Emery’s men. They also still harbour faint title hopes being just six points behind leaders Liverpool with 11 games yet to play.

Tottenham have won their last two league meetings with Chelsea. They secured a 3-1 victory at Wembley earlier this season, with Dele Alli, Kane and Son Heung-Min all on target. They also won the previous game 3-1 at Stamford Bridge thanks to a fine strike from Christian Eriksen and a brace from Alli. However, Chelsea knocked Tottenham out of the Carabao Cup last month, prevailing on penalties after their two-legged semi-final finished 2-2 on aggregate.

Tottenham have an extremely strong attack, even if Alli is still out with injury. Kane, Son and Eriksen are all arguably world-class players nowadays, and should give Chelsea’s defenders a torrid afternoon. Spurs are also strong at the back, but their midfield has been found wanting at times this season. If Chelsea get their tactics right, N’Golo Kante, Jorginho and Kovacic could win the midfield battle and set the Blues on their way to victory. If you look at our Premier League spread betting markets, you’ll see Chelsea are the favourites to win this one. But Tottenham will feel equally confident in their ability to capitalise on the issues Chelsea are facing and secure an away win.

Keep an Eye on the Bookings Market

This is a London derby and there is no love lost between the two sets of fans, so it could prove to be a feisty affair and the Bookings Market is an interesting one to consider. The simplest bookings market relates to the number of red and yellow cards that are shown in a particular match. We assign 10 points every time a yellow card is shown and 25 for each red card. We quote a spread and you simply have to decide whether we have pitched it too high or too low. It’s a classic spread betting market, because you do not need to predict who will win and you have an interest in the game from the first whistle to the last.

The bookings spread for this game is currently trading at 44-48. If you buy for £5 at 48 and there are seven bookings in total, the market would settle on 70 points and you would make a £110 profit (70 – 48 = 22 and 22 x £5 = £110). However, if there were only four bookings, resulting in 40 points, you would lose £40.

If you sold at 44 for £5 and there were only three bookings, you would make £70 (44 – 30 = 14 and 14 x £5 = £70). However, if there were five bookings you would lose £30.

Whether this turns into the fierce contest of yesteryear or not, this is not one to be missed, with massive implications on both team’s aspirations for the remainder of the Premier League season, and potentially Sarri’s future as Chelsea manager.

Can Chelsea reignite their hopes of a top four finish with a victory against Tottenham? Or will Pochettino’s Spurs pile pressure on Manchester City and leaders Liverpool? Check out the latest prices on our Premier League Points market to see whether you agree with our predictions on the end of season points tallies.

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