June's Spread Make Ups | Sporting Index

June's Biggest Spread Betting Make Ups

The Premier League returned to action following a 100-day hiatus when Aston Villa hosted Sheff Utd at Villa Park on June 17. Fans have been able to watch big games almost every day since then, as the denouement to the 2019/20 Bundesliga campaign also proved to be gripping. Our traders offered a wealth of betting markets on top-flight action in England and Germany throughout June. Some of their quotes were bang on the money, but others completely missed the mark. These are the biggest spread betting discrepancies in June:

A Drab Merseyside Derby

Total Goal Minutes Spread: 140-150

Result: 0

Neutral fans anticipated an exciting clash when champions elect Liverpool returned to action in a big Merseyside derby on June 21. The Reds picked up an emphatic 5-2 victory over their local rivals when the teams met earlier in the season, so viewers were expecting a goal fest when they settled down to watch the action unfold. Unfortunately, it turned out to be a rather drab affair. A jaded Liverpool side mustered just three shots on target, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Tom Davies and Richarlison all missed late chances for the Toffees.

Our traders offered a Total Goal Minutes quote of 140-150, allowing punters to sell at 140 if they thought it would be a tepid contest or buy at 150 if they anticipated another high-scoring clash. Anyone that sold at 140 would have been a little nervous as Everton piled on the late pressure, but those misses from Calvert-Lewin and co ensured the result of this market was zero. Sellers therefore earned 140 times their stake in profit. Liverpool swiftly rallied and wrapped up the title with a 4-0 win against Crystal Palace, while Everton are climbing the table after securing back-to-back wins over Norwich and Leicester.

Man Utd Pass Sheff Utd Off The Pitch

Total Match Passes Spread: 770-800

Result: 959

Man Utd and Sheff Utd were both in the hunt for a top four place when the season resumed, and their showdown at Old Trafford promised to be an important clash. However, it turned out to be a pretty one-sided affair. Man Utd sent out a midfield trio of Bruno Fernandes, Paul Pogba and Nemanja Matic, and they utterly dominated the Blades. Man Utd enjoyed 68% of the possession and an Anthony Martial hat-trick handed the Red Devils a convincing 3-0 victory.

Before the match, we pitched Total Passes at 770-800. In the end, there were 959 passes, meaning anyone that bought at 800 earned 159 times their stake. Most of those passes were completed by Man Utd, who toyed with their opponents in the second half and eased to victory. The Blades did not put up much of a fight, and the result damaged their chances of a European place, although they have since been galvanised by victory over Tottenham.

There were another couple of examples large discrepancies in the Total Passes Index betting in June. We priced the market at 880-920 when Man City beat Burnley, but in the end there were 1,002. Pep Guardiola’s men were a lot more comfortable than many expected, as they had 72% of the possession and thrashed the Clarets 5-0. We also had 820-860 passes when Liverpool played Crystal Palace, and there were actually 1,013. Once again it was a result of a lopsided match, with Liverpool enjoying 74% of the possession and surging to a 4-0 victory.

Corner Crazy at The Amex

Corners Spread: 10.3-10.8

Result: 17

Brighton fans could have been forgiven for approaching the restart with trepidation, as their team had failed to win a game in 2020. Yet they came flying out of the blocks and picked up a stirring 2-1 victory over Arsenal, courtesy of a last gasp strike from Neal Maupay. It was a pulsating clash. Brighton were keen to expose Arsenal’s weakness from set pieces by playing balls into the box, while the likes of Nicolas Pepe sought to hit the Seagulls on the counterattack.

That resulted in 17 corners throughout the game. We priced the Total Corners Index at 10.3-10.8 before kick-off, so the result was 6.2 higher than the buy price. Brighton went on to show their mettle by holding high-flying Leicester to a draw, while Arsenal bounced back with wins over Southampton, Sheff Utd and Norwich. Yet Brighton can feel a great deal of satisfaction after doing the double over Arsenal for the first time this season.

Werder Bremen Wallop Cologne

Goal Rush Index Spread: Buy at 28

Result: 100

It is safe to say that the lockdown came at the worst possible time for Cologne. Marcus Gisdol’s side had won eight of 11 games before the season was suspended and that saw them soar out of the relegation zone and up to mid-table. A push for a European place looked possible, and fans could afford to feel optimistic. However, the lockdown totally detailed their momentum, and they looked a shadow of their former selves when the season resumed. Cologne did not secure a single victory in nine games after the restart and ended up beating the drop by just five points.

Their final game of the season saw them face Werder Bremen, who needed a win to ensure they were not automatically relegated. It could not have been much more emphatic. Goals from Yuya Osako, Milot Rashica and Niclas Fullkrug put Werder 3-0 up at the break, and former Everton midfielder Davy Klassen made it 4-0 after the break. Osako grabbed a second, before Dominick Drexler scored a consolation goal for Cologne, but Josh Sargent wrapped up a heavy victory when his strike made it 6-0 to Werder Bremen, who ended up finishing a point clear of Dusseldorf and going into a promotion-relegation playoff against Bundesliga 2 side Heidenheim. Before the game, you could buy at 28 on the Goal Rush Index on Werder, and the result was 100.

Tedium at the BayArena

Sell Price for Goal Minutes: 149

Result: 2

Bayer Leverkusen are one of the most entertaining teams in the Bundesliga, as they are blessed with talented attackers like Leon Bailey, Kai Havertz and Kevin Volland. Mainz are a pretty ambitious team, but they have a poor defensive record, so out traders offered a sell price of 149 on the Goal Minutes Index when they faced one another on the final day of the season. The result of this market is calculated by adding the time of each goal, so if goals were scored on 10 minutes, 50 minutes and 75 minutes, the result would be 135.

Anyone that sold at 149 might have been pleased to see Havertz left on the bench for the game, but Bayer Leverkusen went 1-0 up in the second minute through Volland. Yet the floodgates did not open from that point. Mainz kept things tight at the back, and Bayer Leverkusen were happy to close out a slender 1-0 victory. The result was 2, which was 147 below the sell price, allowing anyone that sold to earn a profit equivalent to 147 times their stake. It was not enough for Leverkusen to gate-crash the top four, as they finished two points behind Borussia Monchengladbach.

Lewandowski Punishes Wolfsburg

Penalty Goal Minutes: Buy at 6

Result: 72

Sporting Index offers punters a huge range of sports spread betting options on the big games. Not only can you bet on Total Goal Minutes, but you can also break it down and place wagers on certain types of goals. For example, we offer a Team Penalty Goal Minutes Index. The result is calculated by adding up the time at which a team scores penalties in a game. If they score a penalty on 40 minutes and another on 80 minutes, the result would be 120. If they do not score a penalty, the result would be zero.

We offered a buy price of 6 minutes when Bundesliga champions took on in-form Wolfsburg on the final day of the season. Bayern have Champions League football to look forward to, but they did not take it easy against Wolfsburg. They were already 2-0 up when Joshua Guilavogui brought down Bayern midfielder Mickael Cuisance in the box. Robert Lewandoswki stepped up and coolly slotted the penalty in the back of the net on 72 minutes, leaving the result 66 higher than the buy price. To make matters worse, Guilavogui was sent off for a second bookable offence, and Thomas Muller made it 4-0 with a late strike.

Haaland’s Hammer Blow

Total Headed Goal Minutes: Buy at 29

Result: 90

Dusseldorf were fighting tooth and nail with Werder Bremen in a bid to avoid automatic relegation throughout June. They were handed a ferociously difficult game against second placed Borussia Dortmund, and few pundits expected them to get anything from the match. However, they defended doggedly throughout, and they were on the brink of a vital draw when the match crept into injury time.

Then Erling Braut Haaland delivered a hammer blow. The young Dortmund striker rose highest and headed in a dramatic winner, sparking heartbreak for Dusseldorf. Punters could buy at 29 on Total Headed Goal Minutes before the game, and the result ended up at 90 courtesy of Haaland’s late intervention. Dusseldorf would finish a single point behind Werder Bremen and suffer automatic relegation.

Epsom 2020 Insights

Saturday at Epsom treats us to two of the standout races of the flat season, the Oaks and the Derby.

Premier League Return: Findings

We look at 10 key findings since the Premier League returned to action behind close doors...

England’s Millennial Managers

We look back and rank England's managers of the past 20 years, where there have been several ups and downs.

A Guide To Betting On The UFC

Learn all the spreads and Fixed-Odds markets you can bet on for the UFC. Read our complete guide...

When Crowds Made A Difference

With us all temporarily living in an age of behind closed doors sport. We look back when crowds made all the difference.

10 Times We Got It Wrong

Take a look at the times our traders got taken to the cleaners and the punters got one over on us...