Premier League Derby Weekend Betting Preview
Premier League Derby Weekend II: More Bookings Ahead?
Back in December, three derbies hit our screens over the course of a mammoth six-hour Super Sunday. All of them had significant backstories, and produced storylines that will be remembered for years to come. This weekend more local rivals face off for a potentially feisty Sunday meeting, with the North London derby kicking off proceedings.
Will Tottenham and Arsenal See Red at Wembley?
Back in December's meeting at the Emirates Stadium, Tottenham went in 2-1 up at half-time, after an Arsenal collapse following Alexandre Lacazette's tenth-minute penalty.
However, Arsenal fought back with three second half goals to remind us all that the perceived power shift in North London wasn't permanent. It was a result that seemed to dampen beliefs that Tottenham had the tenacity to fight all the way for the title, though they would win at the Emirates Stadium in the Carabao Cup just over a fortnight later.
Prior to that match, the fixture had produced 11 Premier League era red cards across 52 league derbies. Though Jan Vertonghen received a second yellow card five minutes from time to compound Tottenham's misery, the historic card tally in North London derbies provides a relatively lean figure compared to many other European rivalries between top flight ever-presents.
Nonetheless, with Arsenal and Tottenham sharing eight bookings in this season's reverse league encounter, this match will provide the focal point for anyone wanting to take a look at the bookings spread market this weekend.
As ever, yellow cards are worth 10 points and reds are worth 25. Using the Bookings Market spread from Chelsea's midweek clash against Tottenham (44-48 points) which harboured similar expectations of a fiery game, and the result of the reverse game (eight yellows and one red, for 105 points) this is how wagers can be won or lost on this game:
Using the same example, if you were to wager £2 on the buy value of 48, you would win back 57 times your stake, based on the following calculation:
Result or settle value (105) - Buy price (48) = positive make-up (57).
The make-up is then multiplied by your wager (£2 in this scenario), giving you £114.
On the other hand, if you placed the same wager and the game produced only three yellow cards (30 points), you would end up losing 18 times your stake through the following calculation:
Result or settle value (30) - Buy price (48) = negative make-up (-18).
The make-up multiplied by the wager of £2 would give you £36.
Fulham's Survival Hopes on a Knife Edge as they Host West London Rivals Chelsea
It has been 13 years since Chelsea last tasted defeat against their West London rivals. A 1-0 win for Fulham in 2006 underlined what a fortress Craven Cottage could be back then, but for all of Chelsea's recent woes this should be a straightforward win for the Blues.
The reverse encounter at Stamford Bridge produced just three yellow cards, all of which arrived in the second half. That noted, red cards are rare but not completely unprecedented in Premier League editions of this fixture. Indeed, the very first (a 1-1 draw at Craven Cottage in 2001) saw none other than future (and now past) Fulham boss Slavisa Jokanovic receive his marching orders.
Ultimately, it stands to reason that the Bookings Spread is lower than the Merseyside or North London derbies, especially as Chelsea went into their midweek fixture with Tottenham as the second-cleanest side in the league based on disciplinary points.
Everton Look to Halt Merseyside Rivals' Title Charge
Completing the trio of Super Sunday derby matches this weekend - as it did back in December - Liverpool's short trip to Goodison will be a meeting of two sides that have experienced contrasting runs of form since the reverse encounter. Whilst, Liverpool have fallen marginally behind Man City as favourites on the Premier League Outright Index, they are yet again favourites to take the spoils in this fitxture.
Short of producing the most unexpected of football masterclasses, Everton's mentality must at least be a combative one to prevent Liverpool from hitting top gear.
Historically, the Merseyside derby has been no better place for this physical approach Everton may need to adopt to stay in the game, with 49 Premier League derbies producing 21 red cards prior to Liverpool's 3-1 derby win at Anfield back in April 2017. Since then, however, the Merseyside derby had been a relatively clean affair, with no red cards and last season's corresponding meeting at Goodison Park producing no cards at all.
Everything is against Everton, both topically and historically. October 2010 remains the last occasion on which the blue half of the city celebrated a derby win, but there are several stats which some may find even more staggering.
November 2013 is the last time any Everton side so much as had a lead in a derby, with the FA Cup semi-finals of 2012 being the last time Everton scored first against their neighbours. The 1987/88 season is also the last time Everton won a return derby match of a top-flight season.
Will any of the weekend derbies result in a card-filled landslide? Check out the Bookings and Goal Supremacy markets currently live with Sporting Index!