Premier League Preview | Matchday 15 | Odds & Spreads
Premier League Matchday 15: Midweek Betting Preview
The Premier League fixtures come in thick and fast at this time of year and players must battle fatigue in order to drive their teams to victory. All 20 clubs have midweek games to contend with and weary legs could be an issue. Managers will need to shuffle their packs, while the forwards will be keen to exploit weary legs among opposition defences. There are some huge matches to look forward to in the coming days, and we have plenty of intriguing Premier League betting markets to help ramp up the excitement.
Crystal Palace v Bournemouth
The Eagles picked up an impressive 2-0 victory at Turf Moor on Saturday and they will be full of confidence as they approach this game. That ended a difficult spell for the club and saw them return to a comfortable mid-table position. They are blessed with a phenomenal talent in the form of Ivorian winger Wilfried Zaha, as he has the ability to conjure up a moment of magic that can swing any game in their favour. Yet they have only managed five goals in seven home games thus far this season, and that profligacy will concern Roy Hodgson.
Opposite number Eddie Howe has no real problems on the goalscoring front, but his team's leaky defence keeps letting him down. Bournemouth are on a three-game losing streak and that has seen them fall below Crystal Palace in the table. They have only kept three clean sheets in 14 games this season, while star striker Callum Wilson's goal drought now extends to seven matches. Harry Wilson banged in a brace against Spurs at the weekend, but it was not enough to prevent them from slumping to a 3-2 defeat.
Crystal Palace v Bournemouth Odds & Spreads
Crystal Palace are the 11/10 favourites to win this game in our Premier League betting odds. You can alternatively find 12/5 on the draw and 5/2 on an away win for the Cherries. Both teams to score is priced at 4/5, while over 2.5 goals is 20/21 and under 2.5 goals is 5/6. Crystal Palace's Win Index is 13.5-15 in the Premier League spread betting, while Bournemouth's is 8.75-10.25, and Palace have a 0.3-0.5 Match Supremacy Index for this game. Total Goals is 2.5-2.7 in the spread betting.
Burnley v Man City
Man City will bid to reignite their faltering title challenge when they take on Burney at Turf Moor on Tuesday evening. A late screamer from Jonjo Shelvey consigned Pep Guardiola¿s men to a 2-2 draw away at Newcastle on Saturday, leaving them 11 points behind runaway league leaders Liverpool. Man City lead the league for goals scored (39), shots (297), hitting the woodwork (12), goals from inside the box (32), goals from outside the box (7), passes (8,952), crosses (380) and corners (128), yet they trail Liverpool in the most important metric: points. They have now drawn two and lost three of their 14 games this season, whereas their title rivals have drawn just once and they are yet to lose.
Burnley were on a three-game winning streak heading into the weekend, but they suffered a surprise 2-0 home defeat to Crystal Palace. Sean Dyche's men are big, strong and good in the air, so they could cause problems for Man City's patched-up defence. The Clarets have won four and lost three games at Turf Moor this season, leaving them with the sixth best home record in the league. They lost 1-0 at home to Man City last season, but they did pick up a 1-1 draw when they hosted Guardiola's side during City's record-breaking 2017-18 campaign.
Burnley v Man City Odds & Spreads
Guardiola will demand an emphatic response from his players after that disappointing draw at St James's Park, and Man City have a 1.75-1.95 Match Supremacy Index for Tuesday's game. Their Win Index is 20.5-21.75, compared to just 2.75-3.75 for Burnley. Our traders are anticipating an entertaining game, with Total Goals pitched at 3.15-3.35. Man City are the 2/9 favourites in the fixed odds betting, with 11/2 on the draw and a massive 11/1 on a Burnley win.
Man Utd v Tottenham
This is arguably the biggest game of the week, as it sees new Tottenham manager Jose Mourinho return to his old stomping ground. The Portuguese coach won the Europa League during his time at Old Trafford, but his reign ultimately ended in failure and he was sacked a year ago. He has now been parachuted into North London to rescue Tottenham's ailing season, and the early results have been impressive.
Spurs have strung together three straight wins since Mourinho replaced Mauricio Pochettino in the dugout: they beat West Ham 3-2, Olympiakos 4-2 and Bournemouth 3-2. They are leaking goals, but the forwards are on fire, and we are seeing some results that are very uncommon for Mourinho teams. Tottenham have kept just one clean sheet all season, which is the lowest tally of any Premier League team, so they will need to keep banging in the goals if they are to challenge for a top four place.
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer replaced Mourinho on a temporary basis last season, and the Norwegian was given the permanent job after a strong run of results. Since then the wheels have come off somewhat for the club. They have won just four of their 14 games so far this season, and fans are no longer so keen to have Ole at the wheel. They could only draw 2-2 at home with Aston Villa on Sunday, despite dominating the possession. Man Utd's expected goals (xG) tally this season stands at 23.07, but they have only managed 19, so the likes of Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial need to become more clinical.
Man Utd v Tottenham Odds & Spreads
Our traders expect to see a really close clash between these teams on Wednesday evening. Man Utd are the narrow favourites at 6/4 in the Premier League betting odds, while Spurs are priced at 17/10 and the draw is 5/2. The spread betting paints a similar picture, as Man Utd have a Win Index of 11.5-13, whereas Tottenham's is 10.75-12.25. The Match Supremacy Inex is -0.05-0.15. Total Goals is 2.7-2.9 and Total Goal Miutes is 137-147.
Chelsea v Aston Villa
Chelsea have suffered a dip in form in recent weeks and that has taken some of the gloss off Frank Lampard¿s strong start to life in the Stamford Bridge dugout. Their six-game winning streak came to an end when they lost 2-1 to Man City, and they then scraped a draw with Valencia in the Champions League. The Blues were expected to bounce back with a routine win over West Ham team, as the Hammers were on a downward spiral, but they suffered a shock 1-0 defeat. Striker Tammy Abraham missed the game through injury, and Chelsea appeared to miss his energy and dynamism up front. Now they face an Aston Villa side that are on an upward curve right now, so we should be in for an entertaining game on Wednesday.
Jack Grealish was the star of the show once again as Villa battled to a 2-2 draw at Old Trafford on Sunday afternoon. They have now taken four points from their last two matches and that mini-revival has carried them up to 15th in the table. However, they have the joint worst away record in the Premier League, with five defeats in seven road trips, and they will be up against it on Wednesday. Yet Grealish has been sensational in recent weeks and that gives Aston Villa a chance in any match.
Chelsea v Aston Villa Odds & Spreads
Chelsea are the heavy favourites to win this game. They are priced at 2/7 in the Premier League odds and they have a Win Index of 20-21.25, whereas Aston Villa are huge 9/1 underdogs and their Win Index is just 3-4. Chelsea -1.5 is priced at 3/4 and Chelsea -2.5 is 19/10 if you think the Blues can surge to a comfortable victory. Alternatively, Aston Villa +1.5 is 11/10, so that would be a good option if you feel the away side can win it, secure a draw or only lose by a narrow margin. Total Goals is 3.35-3.55 in the Premier League spread betting, so our traders are anticipating an open, entertaining contest.
Leicester v Watford
Leicester extended their Premier League winning streak to six games when they earned a last-gasp victory against Everton on Sunday. Brendan Rodgers threw on Kelechi Iheanacho in a bid to break the Toffees¿ stubborn resistance and the decision paid dividends when the former Man City man banged in a 95th minute winner. It left Leicester second in the table, with 10 wins from 14 games, and right now they look like the most credible challengers to Liverpool.
Watford are rooted to the bottom of the table after winning just one of their 14 games so far this season. They sacked Javi Gracia after just four matches and replaced him with former boss Quique Sanchez Flores, but the Spaniard failed to generate the required improvement. He was sacked at the weekend after Watford¿s 2-1 defeat to Southampton, having been in the hot seat for less than three months, and the Hornets are now rudderless as they prepare to visit the King Power Stadium.
Leicester v Watford Odds & Spreads
Leicester have a 1.35-1.55 Match Supremacy Index for this game. Their Win Index is 19-20.25, and Watford¿s is just 3.75-5. The Foxes are priced at 1/3 in the football betting odds, with 17/4 on the draw and 7/1 on Watford. You can find even money on Leicester to win half-time / full-time, while Leicester -1.5 is also evens. Jamie Vardy scored his 13th goal of the season in that 2-1 win against Everton on Sunday, and he is now well clear of his rivals in the Golden Boot race. He is priced at 9/4 to score first in this game, 8/13 to score at any time, and 10/1 to score a hat-trick.
Wolves v West Ham
Wolves are on a nine-game unbeaten streak in the Premier League and that has seen them climb into the top six. Manager Nuno Espirito Santo has been linked with the vacant managerial role at Arsenal, but his current employers are understandably keen to keep hold of him. They battled to a 1-1 draw with Sheff Utd at the weekend, and eight of their 14 games have finished all square, which is a league high. They have only failed to score in one match so far this season, which is a superb feat, but they have only kept three clean sheets.
West Ham snapped a seven-match winless streak by securing a 1-0 victory over Chelsea on Saturday. That afforded under-fire manager Manuel Pellegrini a modicum of breathing room, but he remains under significant pressure. The Hammers have a lot of technically astute players, but they are often sloppy at the back and that has been their downfall on a number of occasions this season. They have only lost two of seven away matches, but Pellegrini will be well aware of his side's poor recent record against Wolves. They lost both meetings with Santo¿s men last season and they will need to defend with a lot more diligence if they are to gain a result on Wednesday.
Wolves v West Ham Odds & Spreads
Wolves are the 8/11 favourites to win this game if you take advantage of our Bad Beat Special promotion. If the team you bet on fails to win the game, but comes out on top in the xG, we will refund your stake. Wolves have an xG of 17.76 this season, but they have actually scored 18. West Ham have scored 17, but their xG figure is 18.04, so the Hammers have not been quite so clinical in front of goal. They are priced at 16/5. The draw is 13/5. Wolves have a 0.6-0.8 Match Supremacy Index in the spread betting on this match, while Total Goals is 2.55-2.75.
Southampton v Norwich
Southampton picked up their first Premier League win in nine games when they hosted Watford in a basement dweller clash on Saturday. They will now bid to beat another relegation rival when they host Norwich on Wednesday. That win against the Hornets saw them leapfrog Norwich and move up to 18th place in the table, but both of these clubs still face an uphill struggle as they aim to beat the drop. Southampton have the worst defensive record in the league this season, having conceded 32 goals in just 14 games. They have perhaps been unfortunate, as their xGA is 24.68, but fans will hope to see them play with greater discipline at the back on Wednesday.
Norwich were unlucky to draw 2-2 with Arsenal at Carrow Road on Sunday. They were left to rue VAR decisions and they also spurned a couple of golden opportunities to take all three points. However, supporters should be encouraged by the Canaries upturn in form. They picked up a superb 2-0 victory over Everton in their previous game, and Finnish striker Teemu Pukki has now ended his goal drought. However, Norwich are also dreadful at the back. They have shipped 30 goals so far this season, which leaves them with the second worst defensive record in the division. It will be interesting to see.
Southampton v Norwich Odds & Spreads
Southampton's upturn in form has impressed our traders and they have a Win Index of 15.75-17.25 on this game. Norwich's is 6.5-8, and the Canaries are the 7/2 underdogs, while the draw is 3/1. Norwich-draw double chance is priced at 6/5 and Norwich draw no beat is 23/10. If you are looking for more value on the home team, you can find 15/8 on Southampton with -1.5 handicap, or odds of 7/5 on the Saints to win the game and over 2.5 goals.
Liverpool v Everton
The Merseyside derby takes place on Wednesday night and Liverpool are the heavy favourites to secure victory. They have taken 40 points from a possible 42 so far this season, and they are on a five-match winning streak. That includes strong victories against Man City and Spurs, so the Reds should be teeming with confidence right now. They had Alisson sent off for handling the ball outside the area against Brighton on Saturday, but they held on for a nervy 2-1 win. They secured a 1-0 victory when they hosted their local rivals at Anfield last season, and Jurgen Klopp would surely settle for a similar result on Wednesday.
Everton are just two points above the relegation zone after losing eight out of 14 matches so far this season. That is an abysmal record when you consider how much money has been lavished upon this squad. Star players have failed to perform, the defence has looked feeble and it is a pretty grim time to be a Toffees fan. Yet they were extremely unlucky to lose 2-1 against a strong Leicester side on Sunday. That might give them a glimmer of encouragement as they prepare for this local derby, but they have not beaten Liverpool since October 2010.
Liverpool v Everton Odds & Spreads
Liverpool are the 4/11 favourites to win this game after securing victories in all seven home matches so far during the 2019/20 campaign. Everton are 15/2 to pull off an upset, and the draw is 15/4. Liverpool -1.5 is priced at 23/20 in the handicap betting, while Everton +1.5 is 8/11. The Reds' Match Supremacy Index has been pitched at 1.25-1.45 and their Win Index is 19-20.25, compared to 3.75-5 for Everton. Total Goals is priced at 3.05-3.25.
Sheff Utd v Newcastle
Two of the Premier League's surprise packages will lock horns for a fascinating tactical battle at Brammal Lane on Thursday night. Newly promoted Sheff Utd are unbeaten in their last seven Premier League matches, and that impressive run includes a win against Arsenal and draws against Spurs and Man Utd. Chris Wilder is earning all manner of plaudits for his tactical nous, and the Blades have defended admirably throughout the campaign. Their games have seen an average of 2.14 goals, which is the fewest of any team in the league. They have conceded just 13 goals in 14 games, which is the third best defensive record in the division.
Newcastle were expected to struggle after popular manager Rafa Benitez finally abandoned ship and moved to China in the summer. The fans were dismayed at the decision to appoint Steve Bruce as his replacement, but the former Man Utd captain has vastly exceeded expectations thus far. The Magpies battled to a fantastic 2-2 draw against Man City on Saturday, and they now sit four points above the drop zone. However, only bottom club Watford have scored fewer goals than Newcastle so far this season. They play with a back five and at least one holding midfielder, an approach that has often stifled their creativity.
Sheff Utd v Newcastle Odds & Spreads
The Total Goals Index has been set at 2.15-2.35 for this game. Sheff Utd are the favourites to secure victory, with a Win Index of 15-16.6 and fixed odds of 5/6. This is another game covered by our Bad Beat Special promotion. Sheff Utd¿s xG is 16.18, whereas they have scored 16. Newcastle's is 10.92, but they have scored 13, so they have excelled when it comes to taking their chances this season. The Magpies are the 3/1 underdogs and they have a Win Index of 7.25-8.75.
Arsenal v Brighton
This is Arsenal's worst start to a season since the Premier League era began. Their poor form cost Unai Emery his job, and club legend Freddie Ljungberg was handed the reins on a temporary basis while a replacement is sought. The Swede could not galvanise the squad, as the Gunners slumped to a disappointing 2-2 draw away at struggling Norwich on Sunday. Their winless streak now stretches to eight games. They have won just four of their 14 Premier League matches so far this season, which is the same amount as Brighton. They boast a world-class striker in Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, but the defending has been atrocious of late and that has cost them dearly.
Brighton have just handed manager Graham Potter a new contract, but results have been dismal in recent weeks. They suffered a third straight defeat when they visited Anfield at the weekend, a result that left them 17th and teetering precariously above the relegation zone. They have suffered five defeats in seven away games so far this season, but they are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Arsenal.
Arsenal v Brighton Odds & Spreads
The Gunners have a 0.95-1.15 Match Supremacy Index for this game, and their Win Index is 17-18.5. Our traders have assigned the visitors a Win Index of 5.75-7. The Seagulls are the 17/4 underdogs in the latest football odds, with 8/15 on an Arsenal win and 7/2 on the draw. Over 3.5 goals is priced at 13/10, and Aubameyang is the 3/1 favourite to open the scoring.