Premier League Preview | Matchday 24
Premier League Matchday 24: Midweek Betting Preview
The Premier League action comes in thick and fast this week and we have plenty of betting options to help ramp up the excitement. Football fans can look forward to six games on Tuesday, three on Wednesday and then Wolves v Liverpool at Molineux on Thursday night. Read on for a preview of each game and a selection of the exciting betting markets available.
Aston Villa v Watford
Watford will head into this game full of confidence after enjoying a remarkable upturn in form under new manager Nigel Pearson. The Hornets have picked up four wins and two draws in their last six games and that has seen them leapfrog Aston Villa and climb out of the relegation zone. Dean Smith’s injury ravaged team battled to a 1-1 draw with Brighton at the weekend, but they have struggled in recent weeks and that has left them marooned in 18th place.
Goalkeeper Tom Heaton and striker Wesley are both out for the rest of the season, which has compounded Villa fans’ misery. Danny Drinkwater and Pepe Reina have both joined until the end of the season, but Smith has not yet managed to sign a striker. His troops will need to be up for a scrap on Tuesday, as Watford have plenty of big, strong, quick players and they really have the bit between their teeth right now.
Aston Villa v Watford Odds & Spreads
Watford are the 11/8 favourites to leave Villa Park with all three points on Tuesday night. The draw is priced at 5/2 and Villa are 9/5 underdogs. You can also find 21/20 on Aston Villa draw no bet or 8/11 on Watford draw no bet. Over 2.5 goals is 3/4 and under 2.5 is 21/20. Our traders have assigned Watford a 0.05-0.25 Match Supremacy Index over Villa in the Premier League betting markets, and their Win Index is 12-13.5, compared to 10.25-11.75 for the home team.
Bournemouth v Brighton
The Cherries appear to be in grave danger of suffering relegation this season. They slumped to a dispiriting 1-0 defeat against bottom club Norwich on Saturday, a result that left them 19th in the table. Bournemouth have lost four games in a row and they have not tasted victory since December 14. Key players have been out injured, but most have now returned to the team, so it cannot really be used as an excuse any longer. Eddie Howe will demand more from Callum Wilson, who is on a 13-game goal drought, and key defender Nathan Aké.
Brighton remain 15th after that draw with Aston Villa, but they will be desperate to return to winning ways when they visit the Vitality Stadium on Tuesday. They have looked pretty solid at the back in recent weeks, but they need to create more chances and become more clinical in front of goal if they are to climb the table. Manager Graham Potter might be tempted to restore Alireza Jahanbakhsh to the starting 11 after the Iranian dazzled with his individual brilliance over the festive period.
Bournemouth v Brighton Odds & Spreads
Brighton are the 7/5 favourites to win this game, while Bournemouth are out at 15/8 in the latest football odds and the draw is 12/5. Under 2.5 goals is 20/21 and over 2.5 goals is 17/20. The Sporting Index trading team expects a relatively low scoring encounter, as Total Goals is 2.6-2.8. Brighton picked up a 2-0 victory against Bournemouth on December 28, and they have been assigned a Win Index of 11.75-13.25 in this game. If you fancy the Cherries to end their long winless streak, they are priced at 10.25-11.75.
Crystal Palace v Southampton
Crystal Palace have established themselves as one of the toughest teams in the Premier League this season. They have not lost in their last five games and they battled to an extremely impressive 2-2 draw against champions Man City on Saturday. Most teams are ripped to shreds when they visit The Etihad, but the Eagles are made of sterner stuff. They fight for every ball and they never admit defeat. Heads might have dropped after Sergio Aguero scored in the 88th minute on Saturday, but instead Palace surged up the pitch forced Fernandinho into conceding an own-goal.
Southampton’s superb run of form ended when they suffered a 3-2 defeat at the hands of Wolves on Saturday. Ralph Hasenhuttl’s men had secured five wins and a draw in their previous six games, but they were undone by the pace, dynamism and technical proficiency of Raul Jimenez, Pedro Neto and Adama Traore. Yet they are still 13th in the table and Saints fans should be pleased with the way the team has progressed since losing 9-0 to Leicester earlier in the campaign.
Crystal Palace v Southampton Odds & Spreads
Once again our traders make the away side the narrow favourites to secure victory. The Saints are priced at 6/4 to win this game, whereas Crystal Palace are out at 19/10 and the draw is 11/5. You can find 5/6 on both teams to score, while over 2.5 goals is 11/10 and under 2.5 goals is 8/11. Southampton have a narrow 0.05-0.25 Match Supremacy Index for the game, while Total Goals is 2.35-2.55 and Rainbow Goals is 7.5-0. Palace have a Win Index of 10.25-11.75 and Southampton’s is 11.75-13.25.
Everton v Newcastle
Everton lost star striker Richarlison to injury ahead of their trip to London to face West Ham on Saturday. His absence was keenly felt, but they still managed to pick up a 1-1 draw thanks to a first-half strike from Dominic Calvert-Lewin. That took his tally to 11 for the campaign, while the likes of Moise Kean and Theo Walcott offer Carlo Ancelotti more options in attack. Everton are now 11th in the table, ahead of Newcastle by virtue of goal difference alone.
The Magpies continue to defy expectations. Many tipped them for relegation this season after Rafa Benitez left the club, along with top scorers Salomon Rondon and Ayoze Perez. Yet Newcastle are enjoying a strong campaign under Steve Bruce, who is slowly but surely starting to win over the supporters. They secured an impressive draw at Molineux on January 11 and then beat Chelsea 1-0 courtesy of a 95th minute effort from Isaac Hayden on Saturday. They had just 30% of the possession in the game, but they defended diligently throughout and looked dangerous from set pieces. They have been efficient in front of goal this season, as they have an xG of 18.84, but they have actually found the back of the net 22 times.
Everton v Newcastle Odds & Spreads
Everton are the heavy favourites in the best football betting odds on this game. They have the sixth best home record in the league, while Newcastle have lost seven of their 11 home games, so it is perhaps unsurprising to see the Toffees priced at 40/85 to win this game. However, Bruce’s men are stubborn at the back and they should be buoyed by their draw at Molineux. They are 11/2 to win the game, and the draw is 7/2. Everton have a 1.05-1.25 goal Supremacy Index in this game, while their Win Index is 18-19.25 and Newcastle’s is 4.75-6.
Sheff Utd v Man City
Newly promoted Sheff Utd are enjoying a magnificent first season in the top flight and they currently sit seventh in the table. They picked up a strong 1-1 draw at The Emirates on Saturday and they are now just a point behind fifth placed Man Utd. Chris Wilder is surely a candidate for manager of the year. His tactical brilliance has shone through as the Blades have secured a number of impressive results, and fans can legitimately dare to dream of a place in Europe next season.
Man City have now won just 15 of their 23 league games so far this season. That is a poor returned when measured against the lofty standards they set over the past couple of campaigns. They trail league leaders Liverpool by 16 points, and they have played an extra game, so the title race looks well and truly over. Yet they still boast an embarrassment of world-class players and they can unlock any defence at will. They beat Sheff Utd 2-0 at The Etihad a few weeks ago, and they will be keen to return to winning ways on Tuesday.
Sheff Utd v Man City Odds & Spreads
The Blades are massive 7/1 underdogs to win this game, while Man City are priced at 4/11 and the draw is 4/1. It is rare to see Pep Guardiola’s side drop points in consecutive games, but Sheff Utd will give anybody a stern test of their mettle. They have a 1.4-1.6 goal Match Supremacy Index for Tuesday’s game, the highest of any team during this round of fixtures. Total Goals is 3.1-3.3, so our traders are expecting a higher-scoring game than the clash at The Etihad.
Chelsea v Arsenal
One of the most eagerly anticipated London derbies of the season takes place at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday night. Chelsea looked second best for the majority of their visit to The Emirates last month, but late goals from Jorginho and Tammy Abraham handed them a smash-and-grab 2-1 win. Since then Chelsea’s form has been patchy and they will be disappointed to have left St James’s Park empty-handed on Saturday. This is still an inexperienced side and they need to discover greater consistency if they are to challenge for major honours.
Arsenal continue to languish in mid-table. It is remarkable to note that they have a negative goal difference for the season, with just 15 games of the campaign remaining. They have been leaky at the back, while up front the Gunners have lacked a cutting edge. Captain Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is their main goal threat, but he is suspended for this game, and Alexandre Lacazette is enduring a long goal drought. Arsenal look more durable and dangerous since Mikel Arteta took the reins, but their improvement has not yet translated into results.
Chelsea v Arsenal Odds & Spreads
Chelsea have been handed a 0.7-0.9 Match Supremacy Index over Arsenal on Tuesday. The Blues have a Win Index of 15.5-17, while Arsenal’s is just 6.75-8.25. Total Goals is priced at 2.9-3.1, Goal Rush is 36-39 and Total Goal Minutes is 151-161. Chelsea are the 3/4 favourites to win the game, while the draw is 11/4 and Arsenal are considerable underdogs at 7.2.
Leicester v West Ham
Leicester have lost four of their last six games and their title challenge now lies in tatters. They are third in the table, six points above Chelsea and 11 clear of Man Utd, which is a terrific achievement, but Brendan Rodgers will be disappointed by their slump in form. They lost 2-1 to Burnley at the weekend and 2-1 to Southampton in their previous game, and Jamie Vardy has now gone four games without scoring, so West Ham might feel as though they can pick up a result on Wednesday.
The Hammers sacked Manuel Pellegrini last month after losing 2-1 to Leicester at the London Stadium. David Moyes was parachuted in to save the day, and West Ham beat Bournemouth 4-0 in his first game at the helm. Since then they have lost away at West Ham and draw at home with Everton, which has left them 16th in the table, just a point above the drop zone. They are fighting for survival, and they should come out all guns blazing on Wednesday.
Leicester v West Ham Odds & Spreads
Leicester are the 8/15 favourites to win this game. The draw is 10/3 and West Ham are all the way out at 19/4. You can find 6/4 on Leicester -1.5, 4/1 on Leicester 2.5 or 7/5 on Leicester half-time / full-time. West Ham-draw double chance is 6/4 if you think the Foxes’ struggles will continue. Leicester have Match Supremacy Index of 0.95-1.15, while their Win Index is 17-18.5 compared to 5.5-6.75 for West Ham.
Tottenham v Norwich
Spurs will bid for their first win in five matches when they host bottom club Norwich on Wednesday. A 0-0 draw with Watford on Saturday left them eighth in the table, eight points off a top four place. Star striker Harry Kane faces a lengthy spell on the sidelines after suffering a bad injury, and that has dented Tottenham’s chances of enjoying a strong second half to the season.
Kane banged in a late penalty to earn Spurs a scrappy 2-2 draw when they faced Norwich at Carrow Road on December 28. The Canaries were unlucky on that day, but they have been the worst side in the Premier League this season. They have lost more games and conceded more goals than any other team, while they have won just four times in 23 matches. Yet they did return to winning ways against Bournemouth last time out and that could buoy them ahead of their trip to London.
Tottenham v Norwich Odds & Spreads
Spurs are the heavy favourites at 2/5 to win this game. The draw is priced at 4/1 and Norwich are 6/1 underdogs. You can find 11/10 on Spurs -1.5, while Norwich +1.5 is 3/4. Tottenham to win and over 2.5 goals is 10/11, Spurs to win and both teams to score is 17/10, and Norwich-draw double chance is 2/1. Spurs have a 1.3-1.5 Match Supremacy Index, and their Win Index is 18.5-19.75. Norwich’s is 4.25-5.5, and Total Goals is 3.1-3.3.
Man Utd v Burnley
A lack of consistency has been Man Utd’s greatest shortcoming this season. They often excel against big teams and then drop points against less heralded opposition, and stringing wins together has proved difficult. The upshot is that the Red Devils are fifth in the table, 30 points behind league leaders Liverpool, who beat them 2-0 on Sunday. They may fancy their chances of returning to winning ways when they host Burnley on Wednesday night, but they will be without key players Marcus Rashford, Paul Pogba and Scott McTominay.
Burnley snapped a run of four straight defeats when they beat Leicester 2-1 at the weekend. That was an impressive result for Sean Dyche’s men, who really rolled up their sleeves and battled to victory. They have plenty of seasoned warriors, which should stand them in good stead as they battle relegation in the weeks ahead. They have a poor away record this season, and they lost 2-0 to Man Utd at Turf Moor last month, but they will make life difficult for their illustrious opponents on Wednesday.
Man Utd v Burnley Odds & Spreads
The hosts are the 3/8 favourites to win this game. The draw is priced at 15/4 and Burnley are 15/2. You can also take advantage of our Bad Beat special promotion on this game. If the team you bet on fails to win the game, but comes out on top in the xG, we will refund your stake as a free bet! Man Utd have been unfortunate this season, as their xG is 40.41, but they have actually scored just 36 times. Burnley have an xG of 28.86, but they have scored 26, so both sets of forwards could do with brushing up on their finishing skills. In the spread betting, Man Utd have a Win Index of 19-20.25 and Burnley have a Win Index of 3.75-5.
Wolves v Liverpool
Liverpool are enjoying arguably the most exceptional Premier League campaign in history. They have 21 wins and a draw from 22 games and they sit comfortably top of the table. The Reds have looked extremely solid in every game, swatting aside their opponents in contemptuous fashion on a weekly basis. They beat Man Utd 2-0 on Sunday and the scoreline actually flattered Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side. They are seemingly cruising to the title.
Wolves soared up to sixth in the table thanks to that 3-2 win against Southampton at the weekend. They finished seventh last season and they may fancy their chances of going at least one better this time around. Stopping Liverpool in their tracks is an extremely tall order, but Wolves have enough quality to give any big team a scare, so this should prove to be an interesting game.
Wolves v Liverpool Odds & Spreads
Wolves are priced at 5/1 to win this game, the draw is 11/4 and Liverpool are 3/5. Both teams to score is 4/5 and no is even money. Over 2.5 goals is 17/20 and under is 20/21. Liverpool have been assigned a Match Supremacy Index of 0.85-1.05 and a Win Index of 16.75-18.25, while Wolves have a Win Index of 5.5-6.75. Total Goals is pitched at 2.6-2.8.
The action continues to ramp up in the Premier League, but which sides do you think will come out on top in these midweek fixtures? Make sure you check out our leading Premier League spreads and top football odds for all of the best and latest markets from the world of sport.