Premier League Preview | Matchday 5 | Betting Overview
Premier League Matchday 5: Weekend Betting Preview
The Premier League returns this weekend following a two-week international break and there are some cracking fixtures for punters to look forward to. The action begins at Anfield as Liverpool bid to maintain their 100% start to the season when they host Newcastle in the early kick-off on Saturday. Manchester United v Leicester is the pick of the 3pm games and then Man City head to East Anglia to take on Daniel Farke’s Norwich in the evening kick off.
Bournemouth v Everton promises to be an entertaining spectacle on Sunday and then all eyes will be on Vicarage Road. Watford have just sacked manager Javi Gracia and replaced him with former boss Quique Sanchez Flores following a poor start to the season. He will be thrown straight in at the deep end, as Arsenal are the visitors on Sunday. It promises to be another thrilling weekend of Premier League action and we have run through all the games below:
Liverpool v Newcastle - Leaders aim to Maintain 100% Start
This fixture usually has goals, with the last time this fixture failed to register a goal was way back in 1974. Liverpool are the red hot favourites this time around after they made a blistering start to the new season. Jurgen Klopp’s men have won all four goals and banged in 12 goals in the process. Wide men Andy Robertson and Trent Alexander-Arnold have been key to their success, and Liverpool have played 101 crosses so far this season, which is the highest in the league.
Newcastle’s five-man defence will surely be busy in this game. The Magpies pulled off a stunning win over Tottenham a few weeks ago, but it has otherwise been a disappointing start to the season for new manager Steve Bruce. Newcastle are massive 20/1 underdogs in this game, while Liverpool are priced at just 1/8 to win it. You can find a Supremacy Index of 2.25-2.45 on Liverpool in the football spread betting, so you can buy at 2.45 if you think the Reds will win by three or more goals.
Brighton v Burnley - Can Clarets Continue Their Dominance Over Seagulls?
Two teams tipped to battle against relegation this season will meet at The Amex on Saturday afternoon. Burnley beat Brighton home and away last season and going further back Brighton are winless against the Clarets in seven previous meetings. So Sean Dyche’s men should be full of confidence ahead of this game. The Clarets made a strong start to the season, beating Southampton 3-0. They have already lost to Arsenal and Liverpool, but there is no shame in that, and they did well to draw 1-1 away at Wolves. Ashley Barnes has been in excellent form up top, and Burnley boast a strong spine.
Brighton also began the season with a 3-0 win when they visited Watford, but a 1-1 draw with West Ham was followed by back-to-back defeats against Southampton and Man City.
Only Sheff Utd have played more long balls than Burnley so far this season, so Brighton’s defence will need to maintain a great deal of concentration in this one. Brighton have never beaten Burnley in the Premier League, but they are the clear favourites in this one, priced at 11/10, while Burnley are out at 5/2. Total goals are at 2.4-2.6 in the spread betting markets.
Manchester United v Leicester - Jamie Vardy Aiming to Have a Party at Old Trafford
Leicester are one of just three unbeaten teams in the Premier League this season, along with title-chasing Liverpool and Man City. They drew with Wolves and then Chelsea, before picking up a 2-1 win away at Sheff Utd and then beating Bournemouth 3-1. Forwards Jamie Vardy and James Maddison are in fine form, and they might fancy their chances of getting a result at Old Trafford on Saturday. The Foxes lost home and away to Manchester United last season, but they look much better this time around.
Man Utd’s campaign began in spectacular fashion, with a 4-0 thumping of Chelsea at the Theatre of Dreams. However, they have since drawn with Wolves, lost at home to Crystal Palace and drawn with Southampton. They could be missing Paul Pogba for this game, which would be a blow. Yet they can expect another solid performance from new signing Aaron Wan-Bissaka, who leads the league for tackles this season, with 26. Manchester United are the 4/5 favourites, while Leicester draw no bet is 9/4. Out traders have given Man Utd a 0.55-0.75 Superiority Index.
Sheffield United v Southampton - Traders Expect a Tight Contest
Sheff Utd boss Chris Wilder is proving to be a tactical whizz in the Premier League and he has guided his team to five points from their opening four games. That is the best haul of any promoted team so far, and a strong 2-2 draw away at Chelsea last time out will give them confidence ahead of Southampton’s visit. Sheff Utd have hit 306 long balls this season, while Southampton have played 289, so this may not be the best game for tiki taka loving purists to watch.
The Blades are the 11/8 favourites in the Premier League odds on this game, while Southampton are priced at 2/1. Ralph Hasenhuttl’s men drew 1-1 with Man Utd last time out, which was an excellent result, and they are now up to 13th in the table. Improvement at Southampton is clear and the manager will be optimistic of a result at Bramall Lane. Blades forwards Billy Sharp and Oliver McBurnie are both priced up at 17-20 in the Player Goal Minutes market, and the first Saints player is Danny Ings at 13-16.
Tottenham v Crystal Palace - Can Spurs Clip the Eagles' Wings?
Tottenham let a two-goal lead slip at The Emirates in their last game and they had to settle for a 2-2 draw. That left them ninth in the table, with five points from four games. They have drawn with Arsenal and Man City, but lost to Newcastle, making them a pretty unpredictable side. Of course, they are a lot stronger than Crystal Palace on paper, but the Eagles won away at Old Trafford recently and they rose to fourth in the table with a 1-0 win over Aston Villa before the international break.
Crystal Palace have secured two clean sheets in four games, which is the joint highest tally in the Premier League. They have put in 85 successful tackles and 20 blocks, showing just how resolutely they have been defending. Wilfried Zaha is their key attacking threat and fans were delighted to keep hold of him in the summer. Yet he faces a solid Spurs backline on Saturday, and Mauricio Pochettino’s men are the 4/11 favourites to secure victory, while the Eagles are out at 7/1. Harry Kane is on fire right now and you can find a Player Goal Minutes index of 41-45 on him in the football spread betting.
Wolves v Chelsea – Winless Wolves Look to Capitalise on Vulnerable Blues
Our traders are anticipating a tight game between Wolves and Chelsea at Molineux this weekend. The hosts are the 15/8 underdogs, while Chelsea are the narrow 6/4 favourites and the draw is priced at 9/4. Wolves drew their first three games of the season, and a 3-2 defeat at the hands of Everton last time out left them teetering just above the relegation zone. Nuno Espirito Santo’s men finished seventh last season, and they will expect to climb the league table in the coming weeks.
However, Chelsea will pose an intriguing challenge when they head to the West Midlands for this game. The Blues have been shocking at the back so far this season, as they have failed to keep a single clean sheet and they have conceded nine goals in four games. Chelsea’s defensive frailties are also highlighted by their xGA (Expected Goals Against) metric, where Chelsea have been expected to concede only 5.45 across their opening four fixtures, yet they have actually conceded 9.
Yet they have been attacking with pace and purpose up top, and youngsters Tammy Abraham and Mason Mount are in excellent form, so there is cause for optimism among Chelsea fans. Wolves like to keep things tight at the back, so we are in for a clash of styles in this match and it could develop into a pulsating contest.
Norwich v Man City – Premier League's Best Attack Meets its Worst Defence
Defending champions Man City have scored 14 goals in their opening four league games and they look devastating in attack right now. Sergio Aguero is the Premier League’s top scorer, with a goal on average every 45 minutes, while teammate Raheem Sterling is second in the chart. Pep Guardiola’s men lead the league in shots on goal, passes completed and goals scored. They have defensive problems – Aymeric Laporte suffered a long-term injury against Brighton in their last game – but their attack is sensational.
Norwich have their own danger man in Finnish sensation Teemu Pukki, who has hit five goals already this season. He will aim to exploit any gaps in the depleted Man City backline, although Norwich also have a defensive injury crisis of their own. Over 4.5 goals is priced at 11/8 in this game, and the spread on total goals is 4.05-4.25, suggesting our traders anticipate an open, entertaining match. Norwich have the leakiest defence in the league, as they have shipped 10 goals already this season, so Aguero and co will be licking their lips in anticipation.
You can take advantage of our exciting new promotion, the Bad Beat special, on this game. You back a team to win, they dominate the match and create tonnes of chances but somehow end up losing - it has happened to all of us and it doesn’t seem fair. That's why Sporting Index Odds have created the Bad Beat special. If the team you bet on fails to win the game, but comes out on top for Expected Goals (xG), we will refund your stake.
Bournemouth v Everton - Toffees Hope for More Inspiration from Richarlison
The Bad Beat promotion is also available on Bournemouth’s clash with Everton on Sunday afternoon. Bournemouth are priced at 15/8 to win the game, while Everton are the 11/8 favourites and the draw is 5/2. Both teams have scored fewer goals than they should have done in the xG rankings this season – Everton should have scored 4.8, but they have only managed 4; while Bournemouth were expected to score 5.42 goals, but they have only scored five – so this promotion could help you out in this one.
Everton scored just one goal in their opening three games, as they drew 0-0 with Crystal Palace, beat Watford 1-0 and lost 2-0 to Aston Villa. But they picked up a strong 3-2 win over Wolves last time out, courtesy of a brace from Brazilian forward Richarlison. Both teams to score has paid off in all four of Bournemouth’s matches so far this season: they drew 1-1 with Sheff Utd, beat Aston Villa 2-1, lost 3-1 to Man City and then lost 3-1 to Leicester last time out. That highlights the kamikaze nature of their defending. Both teams to score is 8/13 in this game.
Watford v Arsenal – Gunners Aim to Pile Further Misery on Hornets
A brave new era begins for Watford on Sunday after Flores was parachuted in to rescue their floundering campaign. He guided them to a comfortable mid-table finish on their first season back in the top flight a few years ago, but he was axed in favour of Walter Mazzarri. The Hornets have changed managers with alarming regularity since then, and the board became trigger happy once again when Gracia took just one point from the first four games of the season. It left Watford rock bottom of the table, and Flores will now try to pick up the pieces.
Arsenal could be without midfielders Granit Xhaka and Lucas Torreira for this game, as both men were injured on international duty this week. But Dani Ceballos was in fine form for Spain, and he would relish the opportunity to pull the strings in this game. Arsenal are lumbered with a poor defence, but they are excellent going forwards, and that has left them with two wins, one draw and one defeat so far this season.
Watford captain Troy Deeney angered the Arsenal faithful when he accused the team of “lacking cojones” in 2017. Since then, the Gunners have beaten Watford three times in a row, and Deeney missed a penalty in one of those games. The travelling supporters would love the opportunity to mock him again on Sunday, but he might fancy his chances of thriving against David Luiz, who has started life at The Emirates in shaky fashion. Watford are priced at 11/4 in the Premier League odds to pick up their first win of the season, while the draw is also 11/4 and Arsenal are 10/11.