Premier League Preview | Matchday 7 | Odds & Spreads
Premier League Matchday 7: Weekend Betting Preview
Liverpool maintained their perfect start to the season when they battled to a 2-1 victory over Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on Sunday. The Reds have won all six games thus far and they retain a five-point lead over title rivals Man City. Pep Guardiola’s men roared back to form by thrashing Watford 8-0, and they might fancy their chances of success against Everton this coming weekend. Liverpool will head to Bramall Lane to take on Sheff Utd. There are a number of exciting fixtures for Premier League fans to look forward to and it culminates with Man Utd taking on Arsenal at Old Trafford.
Sheffield United v Liverpool – Flawless Reds Set For Bramall Lane Test
Liverpool are aiming to win their first ever Premier League title this season and they have made a blistering start to the campaign. They have fired in 17 goals in their opening six games, and forwards Roberto Firmino, Sadio Mane and Mohamed Salah are all in sensational form. They miss injured goalkeeper Alisson, and they have conceded five in six games this season, but they have been blowing teams away in attack.
Liverpool have been clinical in front of goal, as their Expected Goals (xG) stat is just 11.71, but they have scored 5.29 more than that. They have also scored more goals from outside the box than any other team so far this season. That could all spell bad news for Sheff Utd, but the Blades boast a solid defensive record this season. They have conceded just six goals in six games thus far, and that is a much better record than the other newly promoted teams.
Chris Wilder’s men beat Everton 2-0 last weekend and they would love to complete a Merseyside double on Saturday. They have played 444 long balls already this season, which is a league high, and it might require a bit more finesse if they are to topple the European champions.
Sheffield United v Liverpool Odds & Spreads
Liverpool are odds on favourites to beat Sheffield United with the league leaders currently at 4/11. Sheffield United continue to impress in the Premier League and a shock win for the Blades is currently priced at 8/1, while the draw is at 4/1.
In the spread betting, Liverpool are currently 1.45-1.65 over the Blades in the Match Supremacy Index.
In form Roberto Firmino is 9/2 to open the scoring, while his Player Goal Minutes is currently at 21-24.
Aston Villa v Burnley – Villains Look to Get Back to Winnings Ways
Aston Villa slumped to their fourth defeat in six games against 10-man Arsenal on Sunday and that left them marooned in the relegation zone. They have defended desperately at times, making more blocks than any other team this season. Tyrone Mings has led the charge, with a league high 48 blocks and 22 headed clearances. He could be in for a busy afternoon on Saturday, as Burnley also love to play long balls and they have hit 431 so far this season.
It has been an effective strategy for the Clarets. Only two teams have kept more clean sheets than them this season, and only seven sides have outscored them. They beat Norwich 2-0 at the weekend to climb up for ninth in the table, and they could cause Aston Villa all sorts of problems this weekend.
Aston Villa v Burnley Odds & Spreads
Aston Villa are the 6/4 favourites to win this game, while Burnley are 15/8 and the draw is 9/4. Burnley are yet to secure an away win so far this season, while Villa have won just one of three games at home. Under 2.5 goals and over 2.5 goals are both priced at 10/11 and that could be a popular market in this match. Our traders have given Aston Villa a Win Index of 12-13.5, whereas Burnley are 10.25-11.75, indicating just how close they expect this game to be.
Bournemouth v West Ham – Strong Starters Meet at The Vitality
These teams are both nestled comfortably in the top six of the Premier League after dazzling with their attacking play in recent weeks. Bournemouth have rattled off back-to-back 3-1 wins over Everton and Southampton in their last two games. The Cherries have plenty of options in attack and Callum Wilson has been superb of late, but they are always liable to concede. Both teams have scored in every single Bournemouth game so far this Premier League season. The last five of them have also seen over 2.5 goals.
West Ham are fifth in the table, a point clear of Bournemouth, after beating Man Utd 2-0 last weekend. They are unbeaten since suffering an opening day defeat to champions Man City, and Manuel Pellegrini deserves a great deal of credit for toughening them up at the back. They have the joint highest number of clean sheets in the league so far this season, which is surprising for a team that have leaked goals in recent years. They may have ridden their luck at times however – they were expected to concede 11.73 goals in the xGA stats, but they have only let in seven, and five of those were against Man City – but they have also looked tougher in the tackle this season.
Bournemouth v West Ham Odds & Spreads
Both teams to score is priced at 1/2 in this game and over 2.5 goals is 8/13. The Total Goals market in the spread betting is 3.05-3.25, so you can buy if you think it will be a goal fest or sell at 3.05 if you anticipate a damp squib. Bournemouth’s Match Supremacy Index over the Hammers is just 0-0.2, showing that our traders expect a really tight clash.
Chelsea v Brighton – Lampard Looks for First Home Win
Chelsea will aim for a first home win of their Premier League season when they host Brighton on Saturday. Stamford Bridge was a fortress during Frank Lampard’s playing days, but he has struggled to replicate that now he is in the dugout. The Blues have drawn two and lost one at home in the Premier League.
They have not kept a single clean sheet this season and they have conceded more than two goals per game in the league. Only Norwich and Watford have a worse defensive record, and that might cause Lampard concern. However, young forward Tammy Abraham is in excellent form, having hit seven goals already this season, which will spark optimism among the Chelsea faithful.
Brighton still have a solid defence under new manager Graham Potter, but finding the back of the net remains a challenge. They have scored just five goals this season, despite having an xG of 8.02. Star striker Glenn Murray has been suffering with a niggling injury and he may sit out this game, along with Leandro Trossard, and that piles plenty of pressure upon Neal Maupay’s shoulders. Yet Brighton have battled to draws against Newcastle and Burnley in their last two games, and they are a tough nut to crack.
Chelsea v Brighton Odds & Spreads
Chelsea are the 4/9 favourites to win this game, with the draw priced at 7/2 and the Seagulls out at 6/1. Abraham is even money to score at any time, while Maupay is 7/2 to grab his third goal of the season.
Chelsea have been assigned a Win Index of 18.25-19.5, while Brighton are priced at 4.5-5.75 in this market. The Total Goals spread is on offer 2.95-3.15. Chelsea games have seen 4.2 goals on average so far this season, whereas Brighton games have seen 2.2.
Crystal Palace v Norwich – Eagles Look to Bounce Back From Last Minute Misery
Crystal Palace were denied victory when Wolves scored an equaliser five minutes into stoppage time in their clash on Sunday. Yet the Eagles should still be reasonably pleased with a haul of eight points from six games, the highlight being an impressive victory at Old Trafford. They have made 124 tackles this season, the second highest tally in the league, and kept two clean sheets.
Norwich were on cloud nine after beating the mighty Man City on 14 September, but they came crashing back down to earth with a 2-0 defeat against Burnley last weekend. They are now languishing in 16th place, with two wins and four defeats from six games. However, they have already faced Liverpool, Chelsea and City, and they will look forward to a slightly gentler schedule in the weeks ahead. Yet they will need to toughen up at the back, as only Watford have conceded more this season.
Crystal Palace v Norwich Odds & Spreads
Crystal Palace are even money to pick up a home win on Saturday, while the draw is 5/2. The Eagles are yet to lose a home game this season, while Norwich have lost all three games away from home, but you can find 11/4 on the Canaries if you think they will end that trend. Crystal Palace have a 0.4-0.6 Match Supremacy Index in this game, while Total Goals is priced up at 2.85-3.05 and our traders are offering 147-157 on Total Goal Minutes.
Tottenham v Southampton – Spurs Desperate to Kick Start Season
Spurs are on the brink of a crisis after they crashed out to Colchester Utd on penalties in the EFL Cup on Tuesday night. It followed a 2-1 defeat away at Leicester, and they have secured just two wins in eight games in all competitions so far this season. However, they did beat Crystal Palace 4-0 in their last home game, which might give embattled manager Mauricio Pochettino some cause for optimism.
On Saturday, he will lead his unsettled troops into battle against his former club, who lost 3-1 at home to Bournemouth last time out. Southampton are just one point behind Spurs in the table, and that is thanks to their strong away form. They have won two out of three games on the road so far this season. The Saints’ xG stat is 9.83, but they have only managed six goals, so they could be even higher in the table if they were more clinical. They beat Tottenham 2-1 in their last meeting, but lost 3-1 in their last away game against Pochettino’s side.
Tottenham v Southampton Odds & Spreads
Tottenham are priced at 2/5 to win this game, while the draw is 7/2 and Southampton are 7/1 to clinch another away win. Both teams to score is 4/5 in the Premier League betting and over 3.5 goals is 13/8.
Spurs have been given a Win Index of 18.5-19.75, whereas Southampton’s is just 4.25-5.5. Harry Kane has scored in each of Tottenham’s last two games, and he has been assigned a Player Goal Minutes Index of 40-43 in this match.
Wolves v Watford – Premier League’s Only Winless Duo Meet at Molineux
Wolves are the draw kings of the Premier League this season. Nuno Espirito Santo’s men have drawn four and lost two of their six games so far this season, and that poor form has left them second from bottom in the table. They finished seventh last year, but they are struggling to balance Europa League football with Premier League commitments. Yet they might fancy their chances of beating Watford, who lost 8-0 against Man City on Saturday.
The Hornets sacked manager Javi Gracia after taking just one point from their opening four games of the season, and replaced him with former boss Quique Sanchez Flores. His first game went well, as Watford battled back from 2-0 down to pick up a strong draw against Arsenal. However, they were ripped to shreds at the weekend. That defeat left them with a -14 goal difference, the worst in the league by some stretch. They are rock bottom of the table, with two points from six games, and the odds on them being relegated keep shortening.
Wolves v Watford Odds & Spreads
Wolves are 10/11 to pick up their first win of the season on Saturday. The draw is 5/2 and Watford are at 3/1 if you think they will show the battling spirit they displayed against Arsenal. Wolves have been given a 0.5-0.7 Match Supremacy Index over Watford in the Premier League spread betting on this game. It finished 2-0 to the Hornets when these teams met at Molineux last season, but Wolves gained sweet revenge with a 2-1 triumph on the road at Watford in April.
Everton v Man City – Goal Crazy City Face Under Pressure Marco Silva’s Everton
Man City have banged in 24 goals in six games so far this season. That is a rate of four per game and a sign of just how devastating they are going forwards. Sergio Aguero is the Premier League’s top scorer with eight goals, while Kevin De Bruyne has a league high of seven assists. Man City have had more shots on goal than any other team, hit the woodwork more times and completed more passes. But they already trail Liverpool by five points due to a 2-2 draw with Tottenham and that shock 3-2 defeat to Norwich.
Everton lost 2-0 at home to Sheff Utd last time out, a result that left their fans brimming with frustration. The Toffees are now stuck in 14th place in the table, with three defeats from six games, and they too have only managed to score five goals. Richarlison is dangerous, but they really lack a clinical striker. They have an xG of 7.57 this season, which is 2.57 higher than their actual goals tally, and they need more from Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who should gain confidence from his brace against Sheff Wed in the EFL Cup in midweek.
You can take advantage of our exciting promotion, the Bad Beat special, on this game. If the team you bet on fails to win the game, but comes out on top in the xG, we will refund your stake. That might help you out if Everton’s strikers continue to misfire, or if Man City give another performance like the one they displayed at Norwich, where they dominated the game and still lost.
Everton v Man City Odds & Spreads
Man City have a Match Supremacy Index of 1.6-1.8 over Everton, so you can buy if you think they will continue their hot streak in front of goal. Total Goals is 3.25-4.25. Man City games have seen 5 goals on average this season, whereas Everton games have seen just 2.3. Man City are priced at 2/7 in the Premier League betting on this game. The draw is 5/1 and a home win is 9/1.
Leicester v Newcastle – Leicester Look to Strengthen Top Four Credentials
Leicester maintained their strong form by beating Luton 4-0 in the EFL Cup on Tuesday night and they will be full of confidence ahead of this match. The Foxes are third in the table and they have a genuine chance of securing a top six spot this season. They have made more tackles than any other team this season, with 137, and they have barely missed Harry Maguire, who moved to Man Utd in an £80 million deal in the summer. Jamie Vardy has been superb up front and James Maddison continues to improve.
Newcastle’s sole victory came away at Tottenham, but they have been poor for the rest of the campaign. They lost their other two away games, and a lack of goals has been their main issue. They play with a five-man defence and often sit two holding midfielders – Isaac Hayden and Sean Longstaff – in front of it, leaving forward Joelinton isolated. They have only managed four goals this season and that is a worry statistic for Magpies fans.
Leicester v Newcastle Odds & Spreads
The Bad Beat special is also running on this game, ensuring you get your money back if the team you bet on fails to win the game, but comes out on top in the xG. Newcastle’s xG is 4.25, whereas Leicester’s is 6.18 and they have managed 8 goals this season.
Leicester are the 1/2 favourites in the fixed-odds betting and they have a Win Index of 17.75. Newcastle’s Win Index is 4.75-6, while they are priced at 6/1 to win this match and the draw is 3/1.
Leicester v Newcastle Odds & Spreads
The Gunners will bid for their first league victory at Old Trafford in 13 years when they head to the Theatre of Dreams on Monday night. A late strike from Emanuel Adebayor handed them victory that day, and Arsenal have had no joy on their subsequent trips. It finished 2-2 when they met here last season, during the late days of the Jose Mourinho reign, and a David De Gea masterclass inspired Man Utd to a 2-1 win the previous season.
Both of these teams are inconsistent. Man Utd ended a three-game winless streak by picking up a strong 1-0 win against Leicester on 14 September, only to lose 2-0 away at West Ham last time out. They have an injury crisis up front, with Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial both out, but they might still fancy their chances of unlocking this struggling Arsenal defence.
The Gunners have not kept a Premier League clean sheet since the opening weekend of the season. Yet they are dangerous going forward, having scored 11 goals in six games so far. Their 3-2 win over Aston Villa carried them up to fourth in the table, three points clear of Man Utd.
They then welcomed Kieran Tierney, Rob Holding and Hector Bellerin back from injury in a 5-0 cup win over Nottingham Forest on Tuesday night, so they will be in a buoyant mood ahead of this game. But they will need to tighten up at the back if they are to prevail against Man Utd.
Manchester United v Arsenal Odds & Spreads
Man Utd are the 5/4 favourites to win this game. Paul Pogba has also been missing with an injury and that has left them light in midfield, while Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is short of options in attack. Yet he can take comfort from his team’s excellent home record against Arsenal. Unai Emery’s men are 2/1 to pick up a long overdue win at Old Trafford, and the draw is 5/2.
Total Goals is 2.95-3.15 in the spread betting and Total Goal Minutes is 153-163. Man Utd have a narrow 0.1-0.3 Supremacy Index over Arsenal, and their Win Index is 12.25-13.75. If you fancy Arsenal to leave Old Trafford with all three points, they have a Win Index of 10-11.5.