Super Bowl LIII - Spread Betting Preview
Super Bowl LIII Preview
The two most dangerous offences in the NFL will go head-to-head in a battle for glory at Super Bowl LIII in Atlanta on Sunday night. It pits 66-year-old legend Bill Belichick and his vastly experienced New England Patriots against 33-year-old wunderkind Sean McVay and his dynamic Los Angeles Rams. The Pats can call upon the services of the most successful quarterback of all time, four-time Super Bowl MVP Tom Brady, and electrifying running back Sony Michel. While the Rams are fuelled by the genius of McVay and his trailblazing offensive playbook.
Rams fans will also take confidence in the fact that their one and only Super Bowl win, was coincidently also in Atlanta, back in 2000.
McVay Looking to Mastermind Super Bowl Win
The Rams boasted the joint best record in the regular season, winning 13 of 16 to top the NFC West. Their remarkable season is largely a result of McVay's ferocious footballing intellect, but several superstars have also emerged within their ranks. Chief among them is Aaron Donald, who will arguably stand above Brady as the best player on the field at Super Bowl LIII. The LA defensive end led the league with 20.5 sacks this season, 4.5 more than any other player, and all manner of individual accolades have been bestowed upon him.
He established a new league record of 183.5 sack yards and delivered a career best 25 tackles for loss, plus 41 quarterback hits. If anyone can stop the juggernaut that is Brady, it is Donald. Ndamukong Suh is in exceptional form alongside him and Dante Flower is solid on the run, so the Rams' defensive line is pretty menacing.
Some might regard QB Jared Goff as a weakness, but his superb showing in the post-season thus far has silenced a number of doubters. McVay has proved himself to be a quarterback whisperer extraordinaire and Goff's level of performance has shot up dramatically. The Rams should also welcome back the exceptional Todd Gurley to full fitness for this game and that will give the franchise a huge boost. McVay pulled off a masterstroke by bringing back C.J. Anderson from the brink of obscurity and putting him alongside Gurley to wreak havoc, easing the pressure on Goff.
Patriots Boast a Wealth of Experience
Many would argue that the Rams have the better all-round team, and they were the favourites to win the Super Bowl throughout the regular season. But as we approach the big game, the Pats are the narrow favourites in the Super Bowl Spread Betting markets, with a 100 Win Index of 53-59, compared to 41-47 for the Rams. That can be attributed to the sheer depth of experience within the Pats' ranks.
Seventeen years ago, Brady led the Patriots to victory against the Rams at the Super Bowl. Since then, the Rams have flattered to deceive in the post-season until now, while the Pats on the other hand have been to a further seven Super Bowls.
Their Super Bowl record with Brady and Belichick at the helm is 5-3, and many fancy them to make it 6-3 on Sunday. It is their third consecutive Super Bowl appearance - they pulled off a stunning comeback victory over Atlanta two years ago and suffered a shock defeat to Philadelphia last year - and that experience could prove golden.
Brady is the main man, but he will also need a lot of help. Since 2000, the Pats are 11-0 in post-season games where a New England player has rushed for more than 100 yards. They cannot afford to become too one-dimensional, so there will be a huge onus on Michel and James White in the rushing department. The Pats' rushing defence has improved greatly in the playoffs, with Lawrence Guy looking particularly strong, and they will also hope for some big performances from Stephon Gilmore and Shaq Mason.
Then it will be down to Brady to try to inspire his troops to another famous victory. At 41, he is bidding to become the oldest QB in history to earn a Super Bowl ring.
Quarterbacks have won the MVP more than half of all Super Bowls, 28 of 52 times. Tom Brady has won a record four times and Brady is 47-50 in this year's Super Bowl MVP Index to claim another.
Super Bowl Total Points
One of the biggest talking points ahead of the Super Bowl is the total points tally in the game. Interestingly, as highlighted by the Sporting Index trading team, the most points scored by both teams combined in a Super Bowl is 75, which happened in 1995, when the San Francisco 49ers beat the San Diego Chargers, 49-26.
Last Year Philadelphia Eagles and New England Patriots were a point off the record, with a total points tally of 74. This year the Sporting Index traders have predicted a total of 57 points, with the spread currently at 55-58, which is reflective of the magnificently talented offences on show.
When wagering on the Total Points spread you have two options: you can sell at 55 or buy at 58. If you feel there will be fewer than 55 points in the game, you would sell, and if you think it will go over 58 you would buy.
Using last year's Super Bowl as an example where the Philadelphia Eagles were outstanding, beating the Pats 41-33, the total points tally was 74. If we were to see an identical score this time round, it would be over the buy price by 16 points. If you bought at 58 for a £10 stake, you would win £160 (74 - 58 = 16 and 16 x £10 = £160).
However, if you bought at 58 and it turns out there are only 50 points in total, you would lose £80 (58 - 50 = 8 and 8 x £10 = £80).
You just have to weigh up how well each offence and each defence will fare on the day. Can Brady, Michel, Goff and Gurley seize the day, or will Donald and Guy take centre stage? That is up to you to decide. We have a huge array of Super Bowl Specials for you to wager on, which will drum up the excitement and thrill of watching this world famous contest.
Will it be Pats or will it be the Rams? Be sure to check out all the latest Super Bowl spread betting markets ahead of the big clash in Atlanta.