Andrew Mount's Racing Tips

Andrew Mount's Racing Tips 03.10.24



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Andrew heads to Southwell, Salisbury and Chelmsford (AW) for his three stats-based selections on Thursday, October 3rd…

 

SOUTHWELL 2.30

THE KNIPHAND (system – Nigel Twiston-Davies, October)

In the past 20 years, Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 259 from 1271 record in the month of October (20.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £110.21 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 215.75, A/E = 1.20). THE KNIPHAND disappointed at Doncaster in December when we last saw him but goes well when fresh and remains open to improvement on only his third chase outing.

 

SALISBURY 2.40

TREMOLO (system – Harry Charlton, gelded 2yo newcomers)

Since 2010, the Charlton yard is seven from 54 with gelded juvenile newcomers for a profit of £50.58 to a £1 level stake at SP and those who ran in the month of October were four from 11 for a profit of £69.25. TREMOLO was trading at around 12-1 at the time of writing for this 7f novice contest and could be worth a speculative interest.

 

CHELMSFORD 8.30

CROCODILE POWER (system – Slade Power, Chelmsford)

Progeny of the sire Slade Power have a useful record at Chelmsford, landing 15 of their 96 starts for a profit of £72.88 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 10.39, A/E = 1.44). Seb Spencer’s CROCODILE POWER is on a hat-trick after a pir of 6f wins at Catterick and won’t be inconvenienced by the return to the all-weather having finished first over 7f (9-4f) and third by three-quarters of a length over an inadequate 5f trip (8-1) in two previous course outings.

 

Please note that the picks recommended in this blog post are based on past performance and should not be considered a guarantee for future winning outcomes, and it is important to remember that spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit. The views within this preview are those of Andrew Mount, professional tipster and journalist, and not those of Sporting Index.

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